NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d1395537a8a79962f4af149fcf0087a1af0a52e406297dbd8f756d0667a0485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Thunder, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,004,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,004,860 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Thunder | 50c | 451,993$224,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224,509.76 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 51c | 207,211$106,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,921.38 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wizards | 50c | 162,662$81,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,331.22 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Wizards | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards | 50c | 63,919$32,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,844.46 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Thunder | 50c | 54,337$27,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,156.21 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards | 50c | 48,781$24,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,294.67 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Thunder | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Thunder | 48c | 19,994$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,597.05 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…da20backed Thunder | 48c | 19,904$9,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,553.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…0cc6backed Thunder | 48c | 17,389$8,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,346.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…6657backed Wizards | 52c | 16,998$8,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.04 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…9cbcbacked Wizards | 52c | 16,867$8,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,096.16 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89c4…c922backed Wizards | 52c | 16,246$8,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,798.08 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…76bdbacked Thunder | 48c | 15,713$7,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,542.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…2affbacked Thunder | 48c | 13,652$6,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,552.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Thunder | 48c | 13,077$6,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,276.96 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89ba…a850backed Thunder | 48c | 12,848$6,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,167.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…6a75backed Wizards | 52c | 12,304$6,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,905.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…1c79backed Thunder | 48c | 12,028$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3515…257dbacked Wizards | 52c | 11,567$6,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5a2abacked Thunder | 48c | 11,491$5,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,515.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e91…1a61backed Thunder | 48c | 10,915$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,239.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532e…8a9fbacked Thunder | 48c | 10,100$4,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,848 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Thunder | 48c | 10,000$4,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.32 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…2f24backed Thunder | 48c | 9,983$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,791.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6972…a4d2backed Wizards | 52c | 9,946$5,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 51c | 9,630$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.24 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…c523backed Wizards | 52c | 9,286$4,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,457.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdadc…6a57backed Wizards | 52c | 9,221$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…96aebacked Wizards | 52c | 8,226$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec5…b4cebacked Wizards | 52c | 8,140$4,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,907.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…76c3backed Wizards | 52c | 8,120$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 50cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Thunder | 51c | 6,187$3,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,155.57 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…b65ebacked Wizards | 52c | 5,948$3,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,855.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wizards | 56c | 5,861$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.92 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…9ad4backed Wizards | 52c | 5,166$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…0259backed Thunder | 48c | 5,097$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Thunder | 50c | 5,015$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.82 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cb…58b4backed Thunder | 55c | 4,916$2,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…dd15backed Thunder | 48c | 4,856$2,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9517…9928backed Wizards | 52c | 4,838$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 36c | 4,818$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 50c | 4,603$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…e532backed Thunder | 49c | 4,535$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…13bfbacked Thunder | 48c | 4,501$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8702…c6d5backed Wizards | 52c | 4,469$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Wizards | 51c | 4,376$2,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.16 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 4,373$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.02 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wizards | 62c | 4,250$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.89 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83e…2be4backed Wizards | 52c | 3,888$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Thunder | 51c | 3,650$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,851.16 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Thunder | 40c | 3,363$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.95 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Thunder | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.84 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…d730backed Wizards | 61c | 3,106$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Wizards | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7342…4169backed Wizards | 52c | 2,986$1,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.28 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 52c | 2,590$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Thunder | 50c | 2,426$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…a7b9backed Wizards | 52c | 2,372$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 48c | 2,310$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…19f0backed Thunder | 47c | 2,240$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…9957backed Wizards | 53c | 2,217$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b8…9980backed Wizards | 52c | 2,187$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0151…6e2abacked Thunder | 48c | 2,171$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a22…19b5backed Wizards | 53c | 2,140$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…894dbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,132$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 51c | 2,130$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.72 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…bb13backed Thunder | 48c | 2,109$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…4d03backed Thunder | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Thunder | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7c…6bdbbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,967$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Wizards | 52c | 1,911$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.28 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 54c | 1,870$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.95 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9858…6cfcbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,840$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe591…7179backed Wizards | 53c | 1,833$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e48…9ecfbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,807$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598a…d6ecbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,749$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…33d8backed Thunder | 32c | 1,732$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe957…ef5fbacked Wizards | 53c | 1,642$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…8645backed Thunder | 47c | 1,637$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…954cbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,623$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…935abacked Thunder | 47c | 1,618$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…9f59backed Thunder | 48c | 1,514$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…39b0backed Wizards | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Thunder | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Thunder | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Wizards | 62c | 1,403$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.92 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 48c | 1,354$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Wizards | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 48c | 1,256$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.81 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 49c | 1,188$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.11 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Wizards | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,152$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.95 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Thunder | 32c | 1,127$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.68 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-24.5)Wizards won
- Thunder vs. WizardsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 228.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.