TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9948…47e7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,206.53
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$911.42
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,236.29
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,254.68
Will Leeds United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$915Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$2,240.17
Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$5,000
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$839
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Manchester United FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$844.79
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$836.46
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.29
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,035.14
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,000
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
Spread: Thunder (-21.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+55%+$7,693.77
Spread: Knicks (-17.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$983
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,939.05
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+134%+$3,343.55
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick25cpaid-75.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.97
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.65
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$835.55
Club Atlético de Madrid leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.89
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.37
Sporting CP leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.61
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 Atalanta BC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.51
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+87.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+344.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+632.3%+$1,970.84
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,250
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,418.82
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,238Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,513.86
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,796.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$858.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.