TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,379

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,379 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2de6…e187backed No0c30,997$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.682642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+80.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…7be6backed No0c24,478$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes52c8,000$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,808.377552%39 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes53c5,409$2,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,543.9720046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c4,223$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.365,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No49c4,099$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9545253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No47c3,418$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.373,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes58c3,014$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.913339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c2,967$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.258,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Yes55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64b…873cbacked No47c2,511$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No46c2,297$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.0849449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No47c2,089$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9826357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes54c1,846$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.962744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes53c1,814$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.958530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes75c1,695$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.661,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed No48c1,240$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.16520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1847…d94abacked Yes77c1,136$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No46c1,004$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.681,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes53c999.99$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47013134.4%45 W · 86 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff0b…31e5backed Yes77c999.99$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes56c988$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.4517436.2%63 W · 111 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes51c960.67$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.0781651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9312541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9312354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes54c750$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3459651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes54c707.41$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.413225%8 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c701.16$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.5581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No47c683$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.016055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes51c652.57$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7837851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed No23c634.44$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.165724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Yes53c619.97$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.391952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Yes52c609.98$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes51c565.15$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.81,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes79c557.48$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5799259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfbb0…2ccebacked Yes79c550$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes53c534.05$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.216534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23517946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Yes60c484$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.3921752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes79c455.7$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No46c446.96$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.65046%23 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c384.02$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.231,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No48c383.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.998248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Yes80c379.7$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.942070%14 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes79c379.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.673167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7101…609abacked Yes54c331.41$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Yes53c327$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.693727%10 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02b1…c764backed Yes78c299.99$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661275%9 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No6c297.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.027133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No7c289$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7416740.1%67 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.023650%18 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No47c276.83$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.583737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.512443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No46c221.67$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9721345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes50c197.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.831,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes53c188.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.758149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f85…c3ccbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8032…b106backed No48c188$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1916262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes78c184.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6284943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Yes54c183.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.336038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Yes51c179.62$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0155155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No45c177.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.623,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No48c177$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.69771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed Yes51c176.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8110157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e4…43ebbacked No49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75d2…0894backed No48c169$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No48c168.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5941256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c2…1e09backed No49c166$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd734…04dabacked No48c165$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eb2…da44backed No48c164.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5a…d5dabacked Yes54c161.93$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+184.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No37c159.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3785220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes53c158$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes52c157.57$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9939853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked No29c149.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x492b…7813backed No48c145.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3858…4c9ebacked No48c144$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52eb…eff2backed No48c142$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No47c128.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.954757.4%27 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No23c124.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6927053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes54c120.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3711262.5%70 W · 42 L+11.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No48c104.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.022755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Yes52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.923138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No48c100.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.516347.9%78 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467149.3%35 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed No47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6040…33a9backed No46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes54c98.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.928843.2%38 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.349256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2206…ae92backed Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes52c89.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9898…0034backed Yes53c87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No22c86.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2794848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes72c85.25$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2745746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.65949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.