TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x758e…ad1c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
145
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anastasia Pavlyuchenkovabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.69
Abidjan: Aziz Dougaz vs Paul Jubbbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.22
Madrid Open: Paula Badosa vs Julia Grabherbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.67
Abidjan: Massimo Giunta vs Andrew Fentybacked Massimo Giunta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.31
Wuning 2: Li Tu vs Charles Broombacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$52.66
Busan: Yunchaokete Bu vs Adam Waltonbacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Wuning 2: Linang Xiao vs Blake Ellisbacked Linang Xiao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.19
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$36
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.21
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$49.44
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Wuning: Blake Ellis vs Justin Boulaisbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$37.36
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Sloane Stephens vs Tatjana Mariabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Panna Udvardybacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Michelsen vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.84
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.19
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$79.91
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Grand Prix Hassan II: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney Kesslerbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$16.28
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.53
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.68
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$41.47
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+400%+$53.31
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.99
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.6
Rockets vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.51
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.85
Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Knicks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Spread: Hornets (-15.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$37.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.25
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.51
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$55.05
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$18
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Mirassol FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$47.99
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.42
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.99
CA Tigre vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.31
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
EC Bahia vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.62
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$47.56
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.2%+$24.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+190.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$19.2
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$25
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+183.1%+$244.75
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.