TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$307,931
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$301,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $307,931 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a4c…532bbacked Under49c100,000$49,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,0001957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over51c99,125$50,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,553.9360949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c57,581$27,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,689.972,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under49c19,875$9,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,136.459839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c14,395$6,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,881.5912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under49c10,005$4,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,102.685054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4678…bc0abacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1004654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under46c8,163$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,404.3439454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Over53c5,278$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.2310745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over55c4,893$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,675.1629845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57de…cd90backed Under49c4,800$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4481283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+59.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c4,532$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c4,470$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.563554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c4,259$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,314.881,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under50c4,074$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.8818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over50c2,972$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.165143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over52c2,859$1,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,486.922250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38bb…2fcfbacked Under49c2,750$1,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.5785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c2,577$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.214,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under47c2,118$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.744656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under46c2,065$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.7322043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Over52c1,487$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.197450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under47c1,188$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.43050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Under49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Under48c991.26$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.468444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under46c868$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under52c722.07$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.012,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c693.88$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8816147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under47c668.12$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.116261.3%38 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under47c632.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.353050%15 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under47c629.46$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.624353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under48c577.24$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.6640755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c530.62$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over60c515.83$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.73,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Under46c500.61$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.335959.3%35 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over53c457.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4534746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under46c431$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.743046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under45c410.41$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.7322954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Under48c382$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.6414346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c361.87$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.595,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over57c342.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.828372.3%60 W · 23 L+14.6wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+31.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8a0d…82c9backed Under47c339.02$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.683141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Under48c329.1$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.132951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under46c323.25$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5630853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under46c297.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.591,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Over52c287.24$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3610458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under46c285.49$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5130152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under47c263.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.752268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under47c263.64$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.735561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c239.18$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3718744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Under46c215.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.375959.3%35 W · 24 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Under49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.171872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+46.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c4a…4896backed Over56c200.05$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9258652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under45c199.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9920642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x540f…92bebacked Under48c198.25$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.091656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Under46c189.34$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.247258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under47c188.09$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.247558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over54c183.58$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.135234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Over53c176.55$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.574035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over56c176.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.821,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Under47c169.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.843754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under47c169.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.846251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x960d…4629backed Under47c169.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.843375.8%25 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Under46c165.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.614153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Under47c165.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.741560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Under48c165.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.082860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under48c165.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.084459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Under49c161.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.542650%13 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Under49c161.84$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick50cpaid+81%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c158.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4721850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over54c158.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9219153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over53c151.56$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.919442.6%40 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under46c150.39$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.2130054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Under49c150.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.597044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Under46c133.12$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.254953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under46c130.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.666152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under46c125.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.985660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under47c123.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.393458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under49c112.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5614245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c104.53$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.412,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5521455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under50c99.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.36963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c99.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd425…603ebacked Over54c93.51$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.513560%81 W · 54 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Under49c80.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2710638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c78.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under44c78.79$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1229650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Under46c77.58$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.894854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Under46c75.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.681546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under47c73.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9533445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d2…cbd0backed Over55c72.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0240%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under45c69.94$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4717551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under46c69.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.71442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Under46c69.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.474055%22 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over54c69.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2830649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x940c…b006backed Under47c68.4$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.252850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Under46c64.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.117162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over54c64.25$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick52cpaid-70.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.