TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Houston Cougarsof Houston Cougars, Idaho Vandals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,782 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Idaho Vandals46c29,690$13,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,537.212,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Cougars55c25,439$13,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,564.395,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Houston Cougars53c14,242$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,741.654047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Idaho Vandals47c11,641$5,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,471.133842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Houston Cougars52c6,815$3,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,271.063455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Idaho Vandals48c6,146$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9505341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Idaho Vandals50c4,966$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.8141752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Idaho Vandals1c4,577$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.193551.4%18 W · 17 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b3f…3446backed Houston Cougars53c4,555$2,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,141.055367.9%36 W · 17 L+9.6wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Houston Cougars50c4,263$2,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.4212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho Vandals47c3,570$1,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,677.884,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Idaho Vandals48c3,334$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3215858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Houston Cougars63c3,273$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.0425145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Houston Cougars52c3,175$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.1519950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6231…84bbbacked Idaho Vandals49c2,939$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.37825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Houston Cougars50c2,448$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Idaho Vandals48c2,074$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.633740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Idaho Vandals48c2,038$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.9618744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Houston Cougars51c1,902$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1714346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Houston Cougars52c1,889$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.7657248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…e313backed Houston Cougars53c1,870$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.061782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.3wins+0.31per pick51cpaid+52.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Idaho Vandals48c1,548$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.045,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Idaho Vandals48c1,119$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.241,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bda…4282backed Houston Cougars54c1,116$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.33743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Idaho Vandals48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4808444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Houston Cougars52c999.96$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.987450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Idaho Vandals48c991.26$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8122349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…8b6cbacked Idaho Vandals50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.632030%6 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Houston Cougars51c971.82$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.1913350.4%67 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Idaho Vandals50c960.65$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.336349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Idaho Vandals48c955.31$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.5518556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12f2…2ba5backed Houston Cougars50c854.09$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.052737%10 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e9…bdacbacked Idaho Vandals47c675.76$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.618046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Houston Cougars51c609.82$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.811,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Idaho Vandals48c567$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.1622043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Idaho Vandals40c499.93$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.976437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7afa…5394backed Houston Cougars53c467.59$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.773951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Idaho Vandals47c436.4$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.111,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Idaho Vandals50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Houston Cougars50c396.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.251,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Idaho Vandals47c380.6$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.6919147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Houston Cougars51c344.58$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1698748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Idaho Vandals49c343.62$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3716341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Idaho Vandals50c338.46$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.6418048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Houston Cougars60c331.36$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0433855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b18…0390backed Idaho Vandals49c307.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.571540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…c20ebacked Idaho Vandals49c307.29$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe906…5a44backed Idaho Vandals49c297.38$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.713036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Idaho Vandals48c285.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2713343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Houston Cougars50c277.55$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.781,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Idaho Vandals47c253.09$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9511257.1%64 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…e82bbacked Houston Cougars53c224.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5910144.6%45 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Houston Cougars55c215.18$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9864647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9fd…9dfabacked Houston Cougars51c212.78$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.26450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Idaho Vandals48c210$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.857448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bfc…fd26backed Idaho Vandals49c208.16$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d82…e16abacked Idaho Vandals48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Idaho Vandals47c206.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8522047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Houston Cougars51c199.96$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Houston Cougars50c198.25$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb404…9de2backed Idaho Vandals50c197.62$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3a0…22c7backed Idaho Vandals49c195.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Houston Cougars54c194.59$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5113147.3%62 W · 69 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Houston Cougars54c183.58$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.442330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf85…2016backed Houston Cougars51c180.81$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.64100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6827…e99dbacked Houston Cougars52c172.06$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322d…37febacked Idaho Vandals49c168.54$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3535…205bbacked Idaho Vandals50c168.11$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cd2…f20abacked Idaho Vandals49c167.12$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcf7…e19cbacked Houston Cougars52c166.16$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.75666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf0…6a3bbacked Houston Cougars52c165.77$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.57450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb360…13abbacked Houston Cougars51c154.38$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d5…d528backed Idaho Vandals50c143.42$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Idaho Vandals48c142.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9330152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7053…887abacked Idaho Vandals50c139.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.61450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec8…565fbacked Houston Cougars52c111.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.616100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+133.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3773…57f9backed Houston Cougars51c100.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Houston Cougars52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488535.3%30 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Idaho Vandals48c99.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.587143.7%31 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Houston Cougars51c99.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5721455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Houston Cougars50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Idaho Vandals49c98.25$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6320254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Idaho Vandals49c94.1$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.113748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Houston Cougars53c93.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9523054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Houston Cougars54c91.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.228543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ba…a7c7backed Idaho Vandals49c84.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Houston Cougars54c84.44$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.844047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Idaho Vandals47c79.64$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3933445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…ba96backed Houston Cougars51c77.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.161275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeb99…0730backed Houston Cougars51c77.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.032050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Houston Cougars49c74.73$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.113661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Idaho Vandals47c73.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.699952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Idaho Vandals49c61.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0550745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x175c…cd79backed Houston Cougars53c56.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371450%7 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b1e…6738backed Houston Cougars51c55.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.285054%27 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ce…3a5bbacked Houston Cougars55c54.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.781070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Idaho Vandals49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.786841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Houston Cougars51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Idaho Vandals50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.783842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed Idaho Vandals48c49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.528640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.