TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe906…5a44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT4645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.35
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$10.74
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$36.84
Clippers vs. Mavericksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.78
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$10.11
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
76ers vs. Jazzbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$22.08
Cavaliers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.15
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.14
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.44
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.29
1H Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.51
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.9
Spread: Hawks (-8.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.27
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Trail Blazers vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.17
Spread: Raptors (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.99
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$17.09
Spread: Trail Blazers (-13.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.15
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.34
Spread: Nuggets (-15.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.73
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Spread: Timberwolves (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.14
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+229.5%+$48.09
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.7
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.85
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+244.9%+$95.78
Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.51
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.79
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders: O/U 156.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.35
Spread: Houston Cougars (-23.5)backed Idaho Vandals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.71
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.22
Texas Longhorns vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.2%+$147.83
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+214%+$144.56
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$94.27
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5)backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.21
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-5.5)backed Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.89
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+418.5%+$387.72
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.15
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.03
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+248.8%+$36.12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Utahbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Hurricanes vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
Lightning vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Devils vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.52
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.62
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.92
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$49.86
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Bruins vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
Ducks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.12
All 12 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Josh Emmett vs. Kevin Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.6
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.19
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$32.6
UFC Fight Night: Harry Hardwick vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Harry Hardwick · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.09
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+316.3%+$58.61
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Myktybek Orolbai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.89
UFC Fight Night: Vitor Petrino vs. Steven Asplund (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Steven Asplund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.76
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Elijah Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.19
UFC Fight Night: Manoel Sousa vs. Bolaji Oki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Bolaji Oki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.39
UFC Fight Night: Montserrat Rendon vs. Bia Mesquita (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Montserrat Rendon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
UFC Fight Night: Luan Lacerda vs. Hecher Sosa (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Hecher Sosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$65.54
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 60 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Jerome Powell say "Unemployment" 8 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 50 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$473.96
Will Jerome Powell say "Inflation" 40 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.53
Will Jerome Powell say "Price" 15 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Will Jerome Powell say "Tariff" 5 or more times during the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$46.97
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$663.09
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$41.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+110.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+113.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: USA vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+199.3%+$87.79
Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuelabacked Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+56%+$96.21
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$103.04
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$246
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$120.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $Trump FDV be $25-30b on Feb 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$639.39
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$964.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nothing Ever Happens backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+136.5%+$749.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$43.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.