TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,851
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$224,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,851 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Under48c182,395$86,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,920.3489645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c106,421$55,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,029.422,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c24,124$12,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,381.7612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over56c17,777$9,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,821.8460949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80090645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over54c9,602$5,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,416.8239454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c8,620$4,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,137.452,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under48c4,130$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.5323243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c2,621$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.543,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over56c2,303$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.2715557.4%89 W · 66 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Under46c1,991$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.833554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Over52c1,487$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.717450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under44c1,412$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.355,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over56c1,408$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.6618548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Over53c1,072$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.643050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c790.36$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.761,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under44c716.72$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3625544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over54c716.71$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.693348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over54c695.21$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.971,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under44c675.94$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4124847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under44c594.83$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.7216546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over56c576.98$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.956940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over54c574.98$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.823,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over53c572.96$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.294353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over54c511.51$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.340755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24091848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18037246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under44c396.55$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4838837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over55c396.54$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.441,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under45c308.42$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.791,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under44c303$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3222043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9024121.2%51 W · 190 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+299%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c291.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.695,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over65c273.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.517354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under45c220.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1383350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over54c215.11$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.957258.3%42 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under43c187.31$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5450745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under44c178.45$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5224737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe906…5a44backed Under48c162.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.033036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over56c159.61$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.533357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under52c158.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4721850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under44c158.4$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.758652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under44c152.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1110458.7%61 W · 43 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under50c133.17$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5930054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under47c120.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4562451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under44c111.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.566963.8%44 W · 25 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under42c99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.581,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over54c87.24$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.138245.1%37 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under45c85.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3630152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c80.59$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.344,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under37c72.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.711,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55af…8407backed Under44c69.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.731526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-45.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under43c66.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7517551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under45c65.19$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.341,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over52c60.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0223754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under44c56.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8648551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under47c49.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.323948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c46.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5622047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over56c46.24$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.588350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under44c45.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.834055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under45c44.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under44c44.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6330050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under44c44.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6324148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under44c44.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under44c39.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.455354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under51c38.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.832751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed Over52c34.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.665470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under47c34.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9629650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24a…d9fabacked Over54c33.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under46c31.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5135338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under44c30.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3933058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94cb…6cf5backed Over71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…4f91backed Over59c29.95$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321811.1%2 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under47c29.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.888640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over54c28.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.226654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2363…1ac3backed Over54c28.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.183467.6%23 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd493…d21abacked Under44c27.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.271471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+50.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b45…d5f4backed Under44c27.04$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Over55c25.23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.364951%25 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over56c24.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5813457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over63c23.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6119153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed Under44c22.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.031428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d75…12a6backed Over54c20.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over77c20.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6919147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under50c20.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.145757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Over73c19.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.192360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.