Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f3d5277cec668bf5445648a4215b1d591306987aea009e9ff0e047009cba32d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof California Golden Bears, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 2,385$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.74 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UIC Flames | 49c | 1,669$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 1,138$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.65 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California Golden Bears | 46c | 992.32$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.85 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed UIC Flames | 48c | 984.96$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.78 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked UIC Flames | 46c | 959.95$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 574.43$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.77 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…4e71backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…80d1backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 356$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9c…0f14backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 344.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…4eaebacked UIC Flames | 52c | 322.16$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…3decbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 317.2$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2068…9f2ebacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 304.8$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…7feebacked UIC Flames | 52c | 304.32$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed UIC Flames | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…3e7bbacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 289$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UIC Flames | 47c | 274.18$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.87 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…d9aabacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 271$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UIC Flames | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked UIC Flames | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…ddc1backed UIC Flames | 52c | 196.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UIC Flames | 49c | 180.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.65 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…495bbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 167.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e0…4815backed UIC Flames | 52c | 164.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…727dbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 150.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked UIC Flames | 47c | 147.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5850…dc65backed UIC Flames | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UIC Flames | 52c | 118.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.71 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…fe1dbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 112$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 104.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California Golden Bears | 47c | 91.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…006bbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 87.23$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 82.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked UIC Flames | 47c | 73.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked UIC Flames | 47c | 62.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 57.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed California Golden Bears | 48c | 47.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed UIC Flames | 48c | 44.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked UIC Flames | 47c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 41.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked UIC Flames | 49c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 52c | 38.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 47c | 33.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed UIC Flames | 48c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed UIC Flames | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UIC Flames | 58c | 18.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)this page
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-4.5)California Golden Bears won
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-6.5)California Golden Bears won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden BearsCalifornia Golden Bears won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 150.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 151.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 154.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 155.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 156.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.