TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fe9…dc0a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
150
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$61.63
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$110.74
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$26.6
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$93.67
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+286.4%+$42.96
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$152.2
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$24.09
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$41.11
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$161.54
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$31.43
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.39
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)backed CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$103.34
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.6
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$151.78
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+41%+$53.33
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$75.73
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$62.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.34
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.61
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$40.51
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.08
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.87
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.3
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+91.5%+$18.14
UIC Flames vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Murray State Racers vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawks: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Bradley Braves vs. Dayton Flyers: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. New Mexico Lobos: O/U 165.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.58
Navy Midshipmen vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers: O/U 142.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.83
St. Thomas (MN) Tommies vs. Seattle Redhawks: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.05
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 158.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.58
South Alabama Jaguars vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.96
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
Davidson Wildcats vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys: O/U 154.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
UNCW Seahawks vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.63
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$107.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.