TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$306,238
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$346,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,238 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under9c40,414$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.21,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Under50c30,070$15,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0352240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over50c29,587$14,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,793.331,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over51c22,402$11,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,071.996045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over51c21,648$11,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,609.8525248.4%122 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Under46c11,866$5,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,458.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7829…cfd3backed Under50c11,628$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,801.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c11,187$5,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,593.751,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Under49c7,786$3,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,814.953732.4%12 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-43.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c6,529$3,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.0214251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Under49c6,030$2,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.6359646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Over55c5,511$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.235947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1158…79eabacked Under49c4,767$2,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,335.821050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over51c3,810$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.8217147.4%81 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under49c3,693$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.0524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Over60c3,550$2,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4131258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under43c3,284$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.571,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bf…0b30backed Under49c3,151$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.06875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c2,975$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.1563746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c2,899$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c2,790$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.589,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under45c2,462$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.24,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Under49c2,402$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over67c2,389$1,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.973,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under50c2,236$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.935635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under45c2,200$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9145146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over49c1,996$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.9312251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c1,954$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.271,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under42c1,856$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.281,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Under49c1,844$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.762254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under46c1,728$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.886237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c1,698$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Over58c1,671$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.737054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed Under49c1,576$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.211450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,557$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.494,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under32c1,548$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9326336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over51c1,523$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.0340451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over54c1,490$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.4932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Over50c1,465$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.692552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c1,460$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.9290650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad3…f49ebacked Over49c1,422$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+58.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under2c1,300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Under49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5881926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-27.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over63c1,161$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.0311239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Under2c1,150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over54c1,134$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.5619745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Under3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Under3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over77c1,096$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.8731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under49c1,082$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.2712240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under50c1,081$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.516946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,078$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.743,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7852951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c999.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under45c999.93$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.971,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under50c984.24$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.8544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over57c974.2$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.916457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under53c943.82$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1221142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…6db2backed Over55c884.55$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick56cpaid-35.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf98a…f376backed Over56c870.28$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.52832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over68c721.31$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9227158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over63c715$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.954257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under28c714.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c679.88$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.291,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under42c663.77$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.781,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over51c653.73$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3318650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef6…48a3backed Over55c636.87$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.595547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c593.51$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.821,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Over52c588.45$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4611153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over49c558.69$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.932254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under45c554.64$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.391,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a46…2294backed Under49c533.88$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Under46c510$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.65843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over59c505.84$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.988952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Over55c501.1$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.4918534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under46c494$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.2456843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Over72c493.8$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.2652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over70c492.86$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.147150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Over60c490.93$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1614857.4%85 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82e5…7e2fbacked Over68c488.71$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.211478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under49c487.4$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.8716642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf444…8bb9backed Over56c486.8$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.191942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over60c485.68$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.6213655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Over58c485.42$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8810149.5%50 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under49c471.13$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Over23c461.05$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.275738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c441.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.353243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a5…55d6backed Over61c439.87$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.55850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under46c415.78$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1914052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51be…5270backed Under52c397$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over62c396.78$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5413342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x603a…22fabacked Over51c396.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over49c392.16$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.