TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,475
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$287,943

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,475 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Over53c59,951$31,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,774.1620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over52c34,168$17,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,614.3319754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over55c32,932$18,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,103.0516547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under45c32,125$14,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,668.5724650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c25,972$11,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,376.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under47c20,600$9,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,9185935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Over56c20,555$11,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,558.6217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under47c18,595$8,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,855.517852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8be…3d54backed Under49c14,988$7,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,643.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c10,334$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,476.931,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over53c9,015$4,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.2590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c8,192$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.6332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under47c7,970$3,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,224.155442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under47c6,716$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.2721943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under47c6,386$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,384.5838946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under47c6,180$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.414251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under45c4,947$2,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.921,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Under49c4,293$2,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,189.46977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,000$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c3,293$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.024,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over52c3,169$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.586233.9%21 W · 41 L-7.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c2,872$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,492.146,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under47c2,305$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.7270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under47c2,000$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.331,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98027246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c1,964$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under52c1,964$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.5520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under47c1,595$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.311,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75031643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under55c1,381$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c1,272$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.051,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c1,235$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.9363746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Over2c1,150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Over2c1,150$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Under45c1,071$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.355545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a89…8e52backed Over70c1,053$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4810144.6%45 W · 56 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Over3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Over3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under47c1,025$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.4210256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0a…dda0backed Over48c1,009$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.41136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c991.24$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.8849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd942…f9d3backed Under48c980$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.621142.7%90 W · 121 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Over57c974.2$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.2922039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c972.69$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over52c957.49$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.093,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under47c908.46$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.4832150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.25945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Over5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Over5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick8cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c885.21$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85551.8%1 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick1cpaid+81.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over46c799.98$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c751$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.0156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under45c750.15$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Over12c710$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c684.37$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.722,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Over5c641.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.325416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over19c637.64$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5427746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under47c607.7$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.0819745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under45c602.77$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.431,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under45c594.3$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Over12c557.15$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.326648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Over16c542$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1526639.8%106 W · 160 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x047c…3ce4backed Over54c540.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.722842.9%12 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over53c537.13$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.6841753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Over9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457326%19 W · 54 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Over3c500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13437%3 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick4cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under49c492.64$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2629554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over11c458$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7523441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under47c453.2$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.218343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under50c449.58$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.285743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under46c430.89$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.689159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec1e…4369backed Over48c411.74$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7818…64aebacked Under53c410.72$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa273…095bbacked Under52c407.14$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c405.57$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.181,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf1…09b7backed Over50c388.56$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19461740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under47c385.56$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.8214052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over53c383.75$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.3984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under46c373.83$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.8762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…ea7abacked Under54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over19c351$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7831238.5%120 W · 192 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under49c336.32$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.528453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over59c335.53$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under48c319.51$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over19c314.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.880440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over53c304.14$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.1932450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Over16c300$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d5…7620backed Over49c297.64$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.43253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over11c293$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4523649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under44c280.14$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8831953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Over22c266$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.513837.7%52 W · 86 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c260.47$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under52c255.01$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.9416749.1%82 W · 85 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under46c230.34$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.748057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Under54c216.09$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.49454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over48c211.93$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7210552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.