TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,893,412
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,584,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,893,412 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 387 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed 76ers12c1,006,723$120,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,806.789745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked 76ers12c360,892$43,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,305.3796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed 76ers13c189,560$24,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,642.811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed 76ers14c154,679$21,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,472.8811737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers13c139,995$18,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,199.3487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked 76ers12c127,986$15,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,358.334753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed 76ers8c77,527$6,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,312.091,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x996a…e3ccbacked 76ers12c74,327$8,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,919.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick33cpaid+117.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked 76ers12c73,341$8,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,800.921,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed 76ers7c69,809$4,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,720.293729.7%11 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked 76ers13c66,346$8,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,624.9810930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed 76ers2c50,494$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.43179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers12c50,424$6,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,009.794,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ce…5462backed 76ers12c50,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002969%20 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed 76ers1c47,752$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.551417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed 76ers10c40,113$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.1136023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed 76ers13c30,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,750.051,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed 76ers13c29,998$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.719937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1520…0ddfbacked 76ers13c28,987$3,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,768.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked 76ers7c28,621$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.54445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers6c27,773$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.511,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers3c26,389$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.341,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed 76ers1c25,829$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1239842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed 76ers7c25,398$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.778035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efb…18a6backed 76ers13c23,000$2,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9901464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed 76ers12c22,926$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,751.1710256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed 76ers12c22,843$2,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.643718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers7c22,362$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.021,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked 76ers1c21,414$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9410…ffcdbacked 76ers2c21,192$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.334030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed 76ers12c20,965$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.7615141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd052…19f3backed 76ers12c20,009$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.231650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked 76ers12c20,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.9695641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers10c18,177$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.529,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers12c18,159$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.974,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed 76ers12c16,605$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.623151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed 76ers3c16,289$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.346426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb213…4761backed 76ers13c15,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x08e6…5448backed 76ers1c14,537$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed 76ers4c12,073$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.1622036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked 76ers12c11,516$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.9572450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers4c11,473$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.028,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed 76ers8c11,377$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.463,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed 76ers12c10,551$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.473148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0941…b254backed 76ers12c10,396$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.733627.8%10 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed 76ers13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed 76ers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed 76ers5c9,548$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed 76ers11c9,446$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.9461336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 76ers12c9,419$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.2731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed 76ers13c8,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed 76ers13c7,582$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.7112745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5fe…ce64backed 76ers13c7,000$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9101361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers13c7,000$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.6657950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed 76ers12c6,593$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.12835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 76ers7c6,350$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.242,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked 76ers1c5,853$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.057623.7%18 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked 76ers13c5,687$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.285844.8%26 W · 32 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked 76ers12c5,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67523742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed 76ers12c5,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked 76ers12c5,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67043438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed 76ers12c5,500$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67065939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked 76ers1c5,204$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9719443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked 76ers12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005058%29 W · 21 L+5.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked 76ers12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014754.4%80 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed 76ers12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.995246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed 76ers1c4,920$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers14c4,742$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.8879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked 76ers14c4,371$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.945337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed 76ers13c4,258$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.1139958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b0d…90c0backed 76ers14c4,242$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.888834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed 76ers12c4,192$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.993,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers12c4,083$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked 76ers0c4,000$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked 76ers11c4,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers14c3,983$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.661,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed 76ers13c3,974$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f11…be8dbacked 76ers3c3,829$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.731717.6%3 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-47.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed 76ers12c3,789$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.662347.8%11 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed 76ers13c3,659$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4583834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed 76ers13c3,645$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.9850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers2c3,594$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.451,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed 76ers12c3,555$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.645550.9%28 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers2c3,464$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.117211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed 76ers13c3,451$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.8821550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e7…8cbebacked 76ers6c3,408$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.54632.6%15 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 76ers11c3,400$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9820537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc83…e52dbacked 76ers14c3,387$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers5c3,300$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed 76ers13c3,245$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.887532%24 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked 76ers3c3,140$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3413560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked 76ers2c3,136$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0518031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae38…69a2backed 76ers13c3,100$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed 76ers3c3,088$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked 76ers1c3,082$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed 76ers11c3,059$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5321147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked 76ers14c3,023$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.276550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked 76ers12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf8…2f4abacked 76ers4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.