TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9cd1…1eb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Commodities, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 61 out of 100; worst F1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4425%11 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$27,419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27,419.49
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+626.9%+$9,051.57
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$702.44
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$664.94
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,148.99
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.58
Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.65
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,559Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+305.4%+$7,813.53
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$9,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,472.02
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.78
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.87
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$7,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,582.44
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.03
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,339.99
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.92
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$270.99
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$8,373Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,373.27
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.14
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,696Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,696.47
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.1
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3030%9 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+2,609.1%+$19,914.69
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.32
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$228.43
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$311.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$117
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$48.32
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$146.42
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.3
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.75
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.51
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+124.9%+$211
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.48
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.3
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.99
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.01
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.24
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.16
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-69.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensikbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,274.51
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsenbacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Roland Garros ATP: Valentin Royer vs Novak Djokovicbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.04
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,532.35
Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.99
Roland Garros WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsabacked Cristina Bucsa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$959Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$958.87
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,085Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$867.45
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.67
Roland Garros ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$524.99
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.41
Roland Garros ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Benjamin Bonzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungellitibacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Geabacked Arthur Gea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.38
All 15 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+128.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$338Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+227.6%+$769.69
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$73.13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+448.7%+$182.28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$26.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+257.7%+$103.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+363.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.72
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$219.34
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$30.32
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.9
Kylian Mbappe: Anytime Goalscorerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+3,686.1%+$7,264.75
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.6
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.22
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$508.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.