TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,876,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,167,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,876,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 892 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x45b0…4857backed Yes12c629,556$74,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,320.5790%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ad…4953backed Yes12c349,329$42,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,611.948140.7%33 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+32.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes14c237,580$33,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,190.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes10c190,829$19,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,546.114835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes11c138,098$15,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,041.237425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes8c70,000$5,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,787.26214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes7c51,396$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.858122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes10c46,754$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.1214315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Yes14c45,353$6,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,181.28333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+800.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes6c45,015$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.627416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94c4…43cabacked Yes9c42,219$3,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,922.046144.3%27 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes8c37,247$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8241010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes15c36,000$5,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,501.996943.5%30 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes12c35,897$4,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,167.639335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes9c35,712$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.343928.2%11 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+345.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1925…4654backed Yes6c32,652$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.98616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-69.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c31,666$2,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.25673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc917…c359backed Yes22c31,346$7,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,038.9350%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x786a…94a7backed Yes6c30,717$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.6195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+247.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes7c28,303$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,115.37323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes12c27,960$3,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,270.426253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes7c27,015$1,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,833.67468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes13c26,539$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,560.6810235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes8c23,925$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.352718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes12c20,980$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes6c19,977$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.173020%6 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-49.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes8c19,973$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,541.51504%2 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacb…45d7backed Yes8c19,505$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.2140%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f80…2804backed Yes10c19,060$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.052917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf121…ad44backed Yes5c17,481$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes6c17,179$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+86.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfafa…a39fbacked Yes1c16,042$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes6c15,251$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.26185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+276.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes7c15,000$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.2822927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes14c14,882$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.941625%4 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-34.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes5c14,765$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d7…317fbacked Yes6c13,985$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.9119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+560.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes7c13,636$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.7310630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes6c13,292$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.24533.8%2 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes6c13,229$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.37695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x895f…cfadbacked Yes12c13,065$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes8c13,026$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.041816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+323%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes6c13,009$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.563212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes7c12,316$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.411074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes6c11,553$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.13664.5%3 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed Yes20c10,989$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.691145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick26cpaid+165.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes6c10,977$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.4185.6%1 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+530.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes15c10,670$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.11315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce7…6b90backed Yes11c10,493$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.881540%6 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+255.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes7c10,449$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.38110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes10c10,136$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.381711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-74.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes7c10,105$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.794012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x410b…cf55backed Yes17c9,922$1,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.17119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+83.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes10c9,854$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.615819%11 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc64b…516dbacked Yes7c9,452$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.96911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+817.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1970…398dbacked Yes12c9,401$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.465721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Yes7c9,175$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.82119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-86.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes8c8,787$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.364626.1%12 W · 34 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes22c8,578$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.04333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes12c8,379$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.556520%13 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5f7…7647backed Yes12c8,031$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…a312backed Yes8c7,625$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick27cpaid+102.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Yes14c7,576$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.993525.7%9 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-58.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes17c7,109$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.72317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-70%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc822…a169backed Yes5c6,831$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.47333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+329.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes6c6,824$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.14166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-89.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be4…8477backed Yes7c6,805$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.871127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-53.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes10c6,671$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.817723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Yes13c6,539$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87040%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…06acbacked Yes11c6,424$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.481520%3 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-65.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b7…c41cbacked Yes13c6,330$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82250%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes5c6,324$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.681414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes6c6,300$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.991625%4 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes6c6,198$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.0690%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes6c6,026$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.836334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes10c6,011$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.591010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes22c6,000$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes17c5,821$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.685335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes4c5,704$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.28825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+738.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…88dfbacked Yes11c5,646$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-35.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6979…c2a3backed Yes6c5,389$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.161050%5 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+356.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes16c5,256$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.824330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes15c5,216$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.6710529.5%31 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes6c4,866$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.635343.4%23 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+75.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes12c4,809$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b4…592fbacked Yes6c4,693$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8990%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a6bdbacked Yes9c4,673$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Yes11c4,666$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.254835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes9c4,406$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9490%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes3c4,346$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.43651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes6c4,345$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.271010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+62.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes12c4,307$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.152755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c8…6fb2backed Yes7c4,233$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes12c4,231$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.766926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes7c4,200$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.96267.7%2 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-88.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Yes6c4,100$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.612867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes4c4,060$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+256%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4540…aa8fbacked Yes6c4,034$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes13c3,989$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.227626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.