Music · resolved market
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7382a5e41b0fec7ba5fd4d62191fc1cf4504d3768970c46d4c9185615c416872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,876,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,167,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,876,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 892 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 12c | 629,556$74,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,320.57 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 12c | 349,329$42,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,611.94 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Yes | 14c | 237,580$33,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,190.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 10c | 190,829$19,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,546.1 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 11c | 138,098$15,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,041.23 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 8c | 70,000$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.26 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 7c | 51,396$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.85 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 10c | 46,754$4,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,712.12 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Yes | 14c | 45,353$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,181.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +800.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 6c | 45,015$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.62 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked Yes | 9c | 42,219$3,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,922.04 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 8c | 37,247$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 15c | 36,000$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,501.99 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 12c | 35,897$4,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,167.63 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5e…3d71backed Yes | 9c | 35,712$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.34 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +345.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 6c | 32,652$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 31,666$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.25 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc917…c359backed Yes | 22c | 31,346$7,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,038.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 6c | 30,717$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.6 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 7c | 28,303$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.37 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 12c | 27,960$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,270.42 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 7c | 27,015$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.67 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 13c | 26,539$3,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.68 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 8c | 23,925$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.35 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 12c | 20,980$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.4 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 6c | 19,977$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.17 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 8c | 19,973$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.51 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 8c | 19,505$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 10c | 19,060$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.05 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…ad44backed Yes | 5c | 17,481$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Yes | 6c | 17,179$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafa…a39fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 15,251$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.26 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 7c | 15,000$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.28 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 14c | 14,882$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.94 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 5c | 14,765$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…317fbacked Yes | 6c | 13,985$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +560.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 7c | 13,636$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.73 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 13,292$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.24 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 13,229$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.37 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…cfadbacked Yes | 12c | 13,065$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 8c | 13,026$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.04 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +323%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 6c | 13,009$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.56 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 12,316$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.41 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 11,553$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.13 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 20c | 10,989$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 10,977$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.4 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 15c | 10,670$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed Yes | 11c | 10,493$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 7c | 10,449$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,136$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.38 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 7c | 10,105$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.79 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 17c | 9,922$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 10c | 9,854$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.61 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 7c | 9,452$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.96 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 12c | 9,401$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.46 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 7c | 9,175$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.82 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 8c | 8,787$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.36 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a58…9a5ebacked Yes | 22c | 8,578$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 12c | 8,379$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.55 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f7…7647backed Yes | 12c | 8,031$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…a312backed Yes | 8c | 7,625$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 14c | 7,576$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 7,109$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.7 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…a169backed Yes | 5c | 6,831$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +329.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 6c | 6,824$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.14 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 7c | 6,805$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.87 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 10c | 6,671$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.81 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Yes | 13c | 6,539$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 11c | 6,424$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.48 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Yes | 13c | 6,330$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 5c | 6,324$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.68 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 6c | 6,300$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea8…47aabacked Yes | 6c | 6,198$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.06 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 6c | 6,026$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…9c3cbacked Yes | 10c | 6,011$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 22c | 6,000$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 17c | 5,821$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.68 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 4c | 5,704$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +738.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 11c | 5,646$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…c2a3backed Yes | 6c | 5,389$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +356.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 16c | 5,256$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.82 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 15c | 5,216$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.67 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,866$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.63 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 12c | 4,809$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…592fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,693$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a6bdbacked Yes | 9c | 4,673$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…1812backed Yes | 11c | 4,666$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 4,406$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,346$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.43 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 6c | 4,345$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 12c | 4,307$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…6fb2backed Yes | 7c | 4,233$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes | 12c | 4,231$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.76 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +136.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 7c | 4,200$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 6c | 4,100$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.61 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 4c | 4,060$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +256%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…aa8fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,034$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 13c | 3,989$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.22 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.