TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x28b7…c41c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst Music at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT8961.8%55 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$1,254.44
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$138.93
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$250
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$322.19
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.89
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$194.44
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$257.58
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$260.48
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$627Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$212.22
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$534.55
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$341.99
Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$134.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$586.14
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$345
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$837.02
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+65.1%+$1,301.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$636.36
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+35%+$957.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,331.48
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4770.2%33 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$4,219.15
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55%+$3,025.29
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$707.66
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$1,439.02
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$428.57
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.82
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$333.33
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29%+$580.75
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$570.88
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$785.71
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.67
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$388.89
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100.2%+$500.78
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$143.59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$1,057.41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+264.8%+$2,382.99
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+240.2%+$1,441.24
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$655.18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$436.45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$196.8
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$574.31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+133.4%+$400.27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$318.73
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,500
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$65.31
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$850Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+55.3%+$469.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$315.79
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$408.45
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$949Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$523.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$345.87
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$246.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+124.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,242Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$1,543.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$321
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.