Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06b80da68ebe52537d8891c893c3f28376b6c98541b0d2167d536c7e9855948a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luciano Darderiof Sebastian Ofner, Luciano Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $365,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $365,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luciano Darderi | 78c | 36,095$28,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,884.18 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed Sebastian Ofner | 7c | 30,654$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.33 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x780a…84f0backed Luciano Darderi | 65c | 25,820$16,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,037.1 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…f6bebacked Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 25,000$6,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218.59 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 24,786$6,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,626.12 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 14,824$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,801.58 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 13,232$9,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.03 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 7,127$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.8 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 6,666$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.55 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…63a0backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…7c92backed Luciano Darderi | 71c | 5,621$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.91 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Luciano Darderi | 79c | 5,035$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.1 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 4,837$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3aa…de5bbacked Luciano Darderi | 77c | 4,534$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 4,112$3,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.79 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 3,528$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.02 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 3,348$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 42c | 3,065$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 3,000$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.49 | 308 | 27.6%85 W · 223 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…1ab9backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 2,863$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Luciano Darderi | 75c | 2,661$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.02 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 2,475$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 2,322$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 2,200$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…e4ddbacked Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 2,153$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.41 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 2,100$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7a…7625backed Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 260 | 45.4%118 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…40bfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 1,950$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 1,946$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.03 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 1,903$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.27 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 1,887$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.42 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 1,540$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.09 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Luciano Darderi | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…7cc8backed Luciano Darderi | 71c | 1,446$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Luciano Darderi | 70c | 1,429$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.39 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b7…c41cbacked Luciano Darderi | 73c | 1,277$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.99 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…5999backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 1,236$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 1,213$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.51 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 1,176$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.65 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luciano Darderi | 78c | 1,146$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Luciano Darderi | 73c | 1,119$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.96 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 1,103$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Sebastian Ofner | 4c | 1,060$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb034…179fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 1,057$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 1,050$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.46 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 1,039$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 173 | 72.3%125 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Luciano Darderi | 70c | 1,029$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.77 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 1,010$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.55 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 1,002$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Luciano Darderi | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Sebastian Ofner | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 19cpaid | +152.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Luciano Darderi | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 976.81$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 964.51$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luciano Darderi | 71c | 959.84$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.35 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 946.19$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.62 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Luciano Darderi | 73c | 931.51$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.51 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Luciano Darderi | 69c | 924.64$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 820.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 794.99$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.63 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Luciano Darderi | 66c | 752.24$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.76 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Luciano Darderi | 73c | 740$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Sebastian Ofner | 22c | 732.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Sebastian Ofner | 3c | 709.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 708.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.19 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Luciano Darderi | 80c | 689.25$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Sebastian Ofner | 12c | 671.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b5…b370backed Luciano Darderi | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Sebastian Ofner | 33c | 575.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Sebastian Ofner | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 555.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.48 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 491.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 481.61$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Sebastian Ofner | 23c | 468.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Sebastian Ofner | 29c | 429.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.69 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Sebastian Ofner | 26c | 415.69$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luciano Darderi | 77c | 413.58$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 403.34$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Luciano Darderi | 74c | 402.64$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.77 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Sebastian Ofner | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 387.97$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Sebastian Ofner | 24c | 382$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.68 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 360$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…0f3bbacked Sebastian Ofner | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Luciano Darderi | 76c | 343.83$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 335$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Luciano Darderi | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Sebastian Ofner | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…5715backed Sebastian Ofner | 28c | 322$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Luciano Darderi | 69c | 306.96$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Sebastian Ofner | 32c | 306.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Sebastian Ofner | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Ofner vs. Darderi: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ofner vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Ofner (+1.5)Darderi won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Ofner (+2.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.