TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x979f…4032

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 64 out of 100; worst College Football at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10162.4%63 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,450
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,600
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$880
Wimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$290
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.62
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyerbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$720
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,010
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,655Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,655
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$910
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,400
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$580
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,480
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.44
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.09
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.92
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.41
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.8
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.7
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$1,166.2
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$3,500
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60,404.41
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.93
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,977.28
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,279Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,925.77
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,260
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,279.25
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,680
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Argentina O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,850
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$1,500
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,100
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,400
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$580
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,750
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,550
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,650
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,160
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$2,210
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$720
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$840
South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$820
Norway vs. France: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,800
Norway vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+150.5%+$1,883.95
Türkiye vs. United States: Türkiye O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$725
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,960Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,040
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,775.41
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,500
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,835Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8,377.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$761.84
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6,666.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17,037.02
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$818.1
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$997.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,010
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,023Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,023
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,020
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,004.5
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$1,320
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$4,897
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.5
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$7,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$9,700
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,330Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,330.38
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,251Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,473.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16,800
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14,800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5,200
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+60.3%+$18,800
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$587.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.