Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fcca41d5fed5e18e2a6391d18c0029e7ba0ad77da24e68746e5c0d46680dfdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elise Mertensof Elise Mertens, Elena Rybakina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $332,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elena Rybakina | 18c | 51,309$8,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,980.97 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Elena Rybakina | 49c | 12,202$5,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elise Mertens | 46c | 12,183$5,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,551.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 11,594$5,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Elena Rybakina | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 348 | 57.2%199 W · 149 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Elena Rybakina | 3c | 8,757$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Elena Rybakina | 4c | 8,567$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.88 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Elena Rybakina | 53c | 8,309$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,398.04 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…5b35backed Elena Rybakina | 42c | 7,224$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elise Mertens | 55c | 6,900$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…b51abacked Elena Rybakina | 57c | 6,853$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 6,479$5,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,183.17 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Elise Mertens | 47c | 6,296$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,326.18 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Elise Mertens | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 4,852$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,833.08 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 3,718$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked Elise Mertens | 73c | 3,626$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.49 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Elena Rybakina | 50c | 3,528$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 3,230$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.2 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Elena Rybakina | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Elise Mertens | 19c | 3,007$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.9 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 2,874$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.68 | 1,363 | 38.3%522 W · 841 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…ebe1backed Elena Rybakina | 44c | 2,814$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.86 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Elise Mertens | 46c | 2,586$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.04 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Elena Rybakina | 69c | 2,407$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Elise Mertens | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.33 | 246 | 31.3%77 W · 169 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…ab42backed Elise Mertens | 75c | 2,100$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Elise Mertens | 47c | 2,019$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.12 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Elena Rybakina | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Elise Mertens | 32c | 1,944$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.92 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d26…5e33backed Elena Rybakina | 56c | 1,923$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Elise Mertens | 41c | 1,720$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.51 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Elena Rybakina | 48c | 1,705$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.9 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Elena Rybakina | 71c | 1,511$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.64 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Elise Mertens | 55c | 1,394$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.67 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…6610backed Elena Rybakina | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Elena Rybakina | 50c | 1,117$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.39 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Elena Rybakina | 46c | 1,096$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.35 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Elena Rybakina | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ff…3214backed Elena Rybakina | 30c | 1,049$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 384 | 22.4%86 W · 298 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Elise Mertens | 73c | 1,044$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.84 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Elena Rybakina | 55c | 1,012$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.67 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +8.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd30b…1b50backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Elena Rybakina | 45c | 997.1$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Elena Rybakina | 60c | 823.33$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18fc…b534backed Elena Rybakina | 68c | 816.11$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Elise Mertens | 21c | 809.43$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.45 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 750$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Elise Mertens | 37c | 725.8$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.8 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Elena Rybakina | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Elena Rybakina | 60c | 692.92$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.25 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Elise Mertens | 42c | 673.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.64 | 458 | 50.7%232 W · 226 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Elena Rybakina | 9c | 659.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f98backed Elise Mertens | 38c | 631.58$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.58 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Elise Mertens | 33c | 607.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.16 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Elena Rybakina | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 517 | 44.7%231 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Elena Rybakina | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…b298backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 594.8$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6e…d878backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 582.01$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Elena Rybakina | 19c | 520$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…e0c3backed Elise Mertens | 22c | 513.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.64 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Elena Rybakina | 25c | 513.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Elena Rybakina | 58c | 512.58$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Elena Rybakina | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Elise Mertens | 34c | 506.54$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.01 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…2393backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 503.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Elena Rybakina | 49c | 501.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.53 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Elise Mertens | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 499.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Elena Rybakina | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Elena Rybakina | 3c | 489.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Elise Mertens | 75c | 480$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c33…8ad6backed Elise Mertens | 54c | 471.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.78 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 465.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Elena Rybakina | 57c | 463.93$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.6 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1850…8903backed Elena Rybakina | 71c | 457.75$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Elena Rybakina | 79c | 450$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Elena Rybakina | 60c | 414.45$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee34…e2c1backed Elise Mertens | 52c | 382.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.33per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Elena Rybakina | 46c | 380.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Elena Rybakina | 58c | 377.68$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 377.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.72 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…1b54backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 365.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.05 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elise Mertens | 21c | 362.85$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.65 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elena Rybakina | 37c | 355.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.33 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Elise Mertens | 31c | 354.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.53 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Elise Mertens | 31c | 315.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.75 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…a939backed Elena Rybakina | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Elena Rybakina | 5c | 307.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Elena Rybakina | 18c | 304.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Elise Mertens | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Elena Rybakina | 79c | 300$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Elena Rybakinathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs RybakinaMertens won
- Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)Mertens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.