Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9e90bf3ccd05f9c3d4a25f49109d5f860225c26faec54b52edec93c4ba4e62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Brazil, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,923,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,777,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,923,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…7320backed Brazil | 71c | 1,984,964$1,414,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414,394.93 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Norway | 31c | 1,022,285$317,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704,790.6 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil | 14c | 871,803$120,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,423.43 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Norway | 61c | 678,397$411,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266,516.38 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Brazil | 69c | 500,000$345,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345,000 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…ba32backed Norway | 32c | 332,069$105,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226,342.29 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brazil | 68c | 252,767$171,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,499.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Norway | 28c | 250,615$70,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,442.5 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Brazil | 69c | 211,279$145,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,287.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Norway | 31c | 209,463$65,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143,698.04 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Norway | 32c | 186,924$59,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,312.31 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Norway | 32c | 177,777$56,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,548.01 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…8cc2backed Norway | 30c | 164,428$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,428.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed Brazil | 70c | 161,870$112,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112,871.78 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Norway | 31c | 150,000$46,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,499.94 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Norway | 53c | 140,890$74,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,654.77 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Brazil | 64c | 128,323$82,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,522.06 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Norway | 29c | 127,837$37,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,764.38 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Norway | 30c | 126,520$38,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,289.75 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Brazil | 68c | 117,927$80,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,382.18 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Brazil | 16c | 112,730$17,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,684.43 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Norway | 57c | 111,828$63,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,325.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Norway | 30c | 100,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,000 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Norway | 29c | 94,416$27,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,035.58 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Brazil | 69c | 87,516$60,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,060.5 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Brazil | 69c | 82,589$57,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,292.66 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Norway | 30c | 82,000$24,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,539.75 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Brazil | 69c | 79,390$54,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,490.91 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…f861backed Brazil | 70c | 77,742$54,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,304.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Brazil | 70c | 70,000$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,999.85 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Brazil | 71c | 66,725$47,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,374.59 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked Norway | 33c | 66,489$21,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,547.46 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Norway | 32c | 66,028$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,028.23 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8028…6117backed Brazil | 71c | 65,029$46,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,170.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Brazil | 68c | 55,215$37,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,495.31 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Norway | 28c | 50,050$14,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,035.9 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed Norway | 29c | 50,050$14,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,535.18 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked Norway | 29c | 49,943$14,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,303.44 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Brazil | 66c | 47,993$31,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,588.58 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Norway | 33c | 45,397$14,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,416.22 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Brazil | 70c | 42,230$29,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,716.51 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Brazil | 71c | 41,874$29,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,589.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Norway | 30c | 41,667$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,166.67 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Norway | 28c | 41,197$11,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,661.61 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Brazil | 68c | 40,179$27,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,439.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Norway | 29c | 40,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,399.79 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…3385backed Norway | 33c | 39,799$13,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,665.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Brazil | 66c | 38,940$25,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,788.48 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Norway | 30c | 36,080$10,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,255.79 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Brazil | 68c | 35,520$24,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,153.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…9e9fbacked Norway | 29c | 35,000$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,849.73 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Brazil | 51c | 33,962$17,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,177.11 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Norway | 30c | 33,333$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,333.33 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Brazil | 67c | 33,138$22,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,213.03 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…25efbacked Norway | 30c | 33,067$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,146.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Brazil | 67c | 32,239$21,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,511.56 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brazil | 67c | 30,529$20,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,395.38 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Norway | 30c | 30,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,900 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Norway | 33c | 29,999$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,099.29 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Norway | 32c | 29,000$9,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,720 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…4a00backed Brazil | 0c | 28,980$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Norway | 36c | 28,416$10,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,321.52 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Brazil | 71c | 28,169$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…62b5backed Norway | 30c | 28,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.87 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…6930backed Norway | 28c | 27,800$7,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,016 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…5621backed Norway | 39c | 27,236$10,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,675.98 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…2e32backed Brazil | 76c | 27,030$20,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,485.04 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Norway | 29c | 23,275$6,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,575.44 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Brazil | 70c | 22,848$15,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,995.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…8554backed Norway | 49c | 22,773$11,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,503.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…1a19backed Norway | 31c | 22,318$6,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,399.42 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Norway | 29c | 21,998$6,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,618.5 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…c92bbacked Brazil | 71c | 21,954$15,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,587.69 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6322…0c4abacked Brazil | 71c | 21,500$15,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,265 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1681…b1c7backed Brazil | 70c | 21,429$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89e1…ea4cbacked Norway | 34c | 20,014$6,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,194.5 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Norway | 30c | 20,002$6,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,001.44 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Norway | 30c | 20,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Norway | 32c | 20,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,700 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Norway | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.95 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Norway | 29c | 20,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,149.85 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Norway | 29c | 19,999$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,199.64 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8043…121bbacked Brazil | 59c | 19,998$11,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,792.33 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Brazil | 67c | 19,792$13,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,224.68 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Brazil | 71c | 19,026$13,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,508.7 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brazil | 45c | 18,931$8,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,481.94 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf74…29cdbacked Norway | 31c | 18,738$5,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,980.57 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil | 62c | 18,546$11,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,408.56 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Brazil | 69c | 18,101$12,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,490.67 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Brazil | 70c | 18,000$12,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,584.96 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b52…a8a8backed Brazil | 53c | 17,222$9,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,089.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Norway | 30c | 17,177$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,024 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…a7c8backed Brazil | 18c | 17,041$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Norway | 31c | 16,792$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,630.74 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a34…c216backed Norway | 30c | 16,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,666.67 | 87 | 31%27 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…e75fbacked Norway | 30c | 16,550$4,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,584.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Brazil | 58c | 15,941$9,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,190.1 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed Brazil | 68c | 15,236$10,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,431.83 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Norway | 30c | 15,000$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,549.94 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe94…8a3dbacked Norway | 29c | 15,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,599.82 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancethis page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.