Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4070a4bf028d496eae62cb9c88ba3711aa4996a12afc356e966c5dc2a0f26d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 2c | 24,133$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.17 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 2c | 12,783$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.95 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 3c | 10,640$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed Over | 3c | 7,101$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 2c | 5,143$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 3c | 4,293$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over | 3c | 3,404$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 46.9%107 W · 121 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed Over | 3c | 3,247$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.92 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 2c | 3,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 223 | 42.6%95 W · 128 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 2c | 2,498$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 2,457$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 2c | 1,598$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 1,208$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Over | 3c | 1,176$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 438 | 26.3%115 W · 323 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 3c | 895$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 2c | 878.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…9931backed Over | 3c | 750$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 3c | 719.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 2c | 698.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d74…c268backed Over | 2c | 657.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 2c | 632.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2c…5dc1backed Over | 3c | 550$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 2c | 511.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 3c | 367.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 5c | 234.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 50c | 102.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.