TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norwayof Brazil, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,461
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$580,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,461 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Brazil14c66,309$9,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,226.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Brazil6c60,102$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.61,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Brazil10c38,600$3,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,707.9811642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil11c37,175$4,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,264.512,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Brazil12c34,366$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,080.276114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Brazil12c22,570$2,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,708.429740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Brazil11c16,583$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.285234.6%18 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brazil12c16,270$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,939.6974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed Brazil12c14,375$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7252948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Brazil13c13,462$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Brazil12c12,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Brazil12c11,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.9942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Brazil12c8,630$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.61,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Brazil13c5,750$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.59247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Brazil5c5,706$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.824,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed Brazil9c5,600$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Brazil12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Brazil12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec6…50cdbacked Brazil13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.994544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Brazil13c4,752$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.810911%12 W · 97 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x04aa…2e69backed Brazil12c4,280$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.61060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e2…5969backed Brazil13c3,544$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.752025%5 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b38…1dccbacked Brazil7c3,270$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.92860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Brazil13c3,150$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Brazil12c2,780$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.5821044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Brazil13c2,632$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Brazil9c2,581$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.672,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Brazil28c2,330$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.616016.7%10 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Brazil12c2,323$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.7523236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Brazil10c2,152$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6736543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Brazil11c1,909$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6733245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Brazil14c1,786$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Brazil13c1,700$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21438526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b98…5beabacked Brazil6c1,692$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004719.1%9 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d0…534ebacked Brazil13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Brazil10c1,480$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Brazil12c1,390$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.797444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Brazil13c1,308$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17016831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Brazil12c1,250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Brazil12c1,202$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2423036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Brazil13c1,043$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Brazil11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Brazil11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc427…6f4dbacked Brazil5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa573…f034backed Brazil13c999.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305916.9%10 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-33.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Brazil14c950$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13122436.6%82 W · 142 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brazil9c878.46$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.812,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Brazil9c784.01$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Brazil13c770$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66aa…3725backed Brazil13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Brazil10c745.37$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.894,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b1…d21fbacked Brazil12c625$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Brazil3c600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf47c…61f3backed Brazil3c587$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Brazil12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…ef55backed Brazil13c499.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657832.1%25 W · 53 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Brazil12c427.73$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3372722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Brazil12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505932.2%19 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899e…0b80backed Brazil13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Brazil13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Brazil9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304623.9%11 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Brazil16c321$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.411,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Brazil12c316.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.273,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Brazil12c290$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.330137.2%112 W · 189 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Brazil12c288.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6625844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Norway74c268.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4718765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Brazil10c236.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Brazil13c210$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.319148.7%93 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…aa7cbacked Brazil12c205.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.654916.3%8 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa31…2217backed Brazil14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258438.1%32 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0510…10c4backed Brazil11c171.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x066b…e07ebacked Brazil12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Brazil12c166.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b22…0c6fbacked Brazil13c155.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.27718.5%6 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-58.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f0…f1b2backed Brazil13c144.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.834850%24 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Brazil12c130.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Brazil13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.633221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Brazil15c117$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Brazil11c116$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.892,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Brazil10c109.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9138437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x846a…9a72backed Brazil13c101.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.23321.2%7 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Brazil16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Brazil14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Brazil22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed Brazil13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Brazil16c82.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Norway66c82.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.952,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Brazil22c75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.231,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb02d…c0bbbacked Brazil23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Brazil22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.