TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,367,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,407,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,367,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed Over1c148,509$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.091,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under25c123,631$31,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,233.3413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under43c111,610$48,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,560.14,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over72c89,999$64,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,799.5942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over75c84,343$63,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,323.3514542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under68c47,758$32,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,317.4828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over48c38,105$18,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,472.0419218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over22c27,356$5,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,948.163,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over59c23,399$13,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,694.1441331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under31c21,521$6,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,800.1225339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over71c19,478$13,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,815.092,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over77c18,971$14,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,564.6834731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Under21c17,806$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,145.5136234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Over71c17,500$12,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,424.959247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over55c17,030$9,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,347.0825125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Over70c16,011$11,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,207.6725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over52c15,626$8,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,066.6264446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under28c14,646$4,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,516.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over70c11,349$7,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,944.329740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under29c10,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,099.9813234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over1c9,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.999742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+94.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over72c9,001$6,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,450.7740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c8,870$4,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.928,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under51c8,661$4,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over39c7,090$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.8521722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over71c7,042$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over49c7,038$3,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,434.9527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over61c6,784$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.8417827.5%49 W · 129 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over62c6,490$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.7266846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Over12c6,481$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.6423540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under66c6,378$4,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,184.437650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over48c5,543$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.45435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under46c5,489$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.1129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under28c5,358$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,857.470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over72c5,070$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.8411042.7%47 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Under30c5,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5008325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3502441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over47c4,400$2,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Under22c4,150$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,257.4814856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x285a…3326backed Under28c4,060$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.27852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c4,022$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.081,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3da…4c50backed Under28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.4311643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324a…f1a1backed Over47c3,199$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003946.2%18 W · 21 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under32c3,193$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.436235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under29c3,167$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.062,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under67c3,122$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0274967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over14c3,114$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.5816150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under2c2,911$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,852.373511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over69c2,905$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.652,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under28c2,822$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.5824950.2%125 W · 124 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over72c2,691$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.4473536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over76c2,667$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.681,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over46c2,653$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over6c2,600$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over65c2,588$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under65c2,579$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.4525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over69c2,516$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.852,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c2,503$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.361,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37ab…cdafbacked Under2c2,500$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,44010014%14 W · 86 L+11.0wins+0.11per pick3cpaid+445.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under8c2,361$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.1115929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Under28c2,202$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.47153.5%38 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab45…f5e0backed Under27c2,183$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.535930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Under15c2,164$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.47368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over63c2,077$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.641,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under29c2,063$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454.851,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over65c2,017$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.9528251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under37c2,015$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,262.6244539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over69c1,974$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.041,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb5…0499backed Over56c1,900$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.992352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over47c1,800$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84628526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbcb…c5afbacked Over40c1,798$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.48541.2%35 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under9c1,625$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under28c1,580$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.56445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd437…ba37backed Under28c1,500$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.997431.1%23 W · 51 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe19b…4b86backed Over74c1,499$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.832250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over70c1,473$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.6665036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1556…b722backed Over63c1,419$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90029639.5%117 W · 179 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Over70c1,400$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98014242.3%60 W · 82 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over70c1,398$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.61,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under8c1,389$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.9242126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under34c1,377$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.6261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over73c1,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.17364.4%47 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Over70c1,359$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.3121044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under31c1,300$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.891,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over16c1,300$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9643737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Under28c1,243$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.8616225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over47c1,234$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9822943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Over48c1,225$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5886660.6%40 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over70c1,220$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.6641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under28c1,209$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.873,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b7…8b0bbacked Over37c1,200$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4443735.1%13 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over75c1,192$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.77040%28 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Under8c1,187$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.4946939.4%185 W · 284 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under42c1,183$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.774,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under53c1,182$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.0519649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over76c1,042$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.6713542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Over48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under35c1,012$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.751,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.