TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,146
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,354

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,146 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c24,523$18,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,953.764,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over12c12,636$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.821,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c11,896$8,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,147.591,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under73c9,992$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.8320724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over26c7,994$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.892,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over27c6,034$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.651,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over10c5,464$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.882,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over20c4,282$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.682,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under76c3,962$3,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c3,184$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.92,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under73c2,500$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.93,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over12c1,871$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.964,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over27c1,579$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over20c1,349$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.541,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under73c1,249$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.132,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef4f…4598backed Over10c910$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9123236.6%85 W · 147 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa402…c824backed Over26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Over26c798.48$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.65630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54d…39b2backed Over28c684.79$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.747851.3%40 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c668.89$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.912,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over23c627.4$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c560.3$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over27c555.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over27c520$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.897742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over27c512$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.241,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under72c499.15$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7646546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over15c474.84$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.462,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under73c377$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26e6…8303backed Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over27c366.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Under78c333$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.267558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+76.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under73c295.6$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8126344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Over22c295.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654751.1%24 W · 23 L+6.9wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+49%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over13c280$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5132433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over15c269.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.711,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over27c254$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.581,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa287…0487backed Over4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under73c217.32$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.681,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over13c205$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under75c197$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b86…0cb5backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under73c172.92$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.691,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over13c149$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over27c142.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e2…4563backed Over28c137.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9922343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f4…7763backed Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2510749.5%53 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.82,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a73…1c47backed Over22c113.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255162.7%32 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1497…4414backed Over28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021820.2%44 W · 174 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…b763backed Under74c91.88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.891154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+46.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.61,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over27c76.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Under80c74.38$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1411047.3%52 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4855…8643backed Over28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb3…1b2abacked Over29c69.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92711.1%3 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+83.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c2b…6f05backed Under74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.576478.1%50 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf8d9…3742backed Over28c65.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.47911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-76%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.287938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Over35c55.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.346016.7%10 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x73e9…55febacked Over27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0940…b281backed Over28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39f8…80a9backed Over23c51.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8670%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d55…ae35backed Under75c50.67$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.674568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under64c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2db…2f89backed Under79c49.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.463221.9%7 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Under79c48.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.19563.2%60 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbfb…de25backed Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111144.1%49 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf12…04e2backed Over27c40.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick30cpaid+168.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under76c34.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.431,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a0…4321backed Under74c33.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.782763%17 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Under79c25.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4429463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Under66c18.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4720860.6%126 W · 82 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under74c15.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under74c14.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under74c14.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.791,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.