TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,025 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc18a…7c09backed Over8c2,989$239 inLost-$239.127810.5%4 W · 777 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c2,327$213 inLost-$212.938,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c2,127$149 inLost-$148.854,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…38c6backed Over8c1,100$88 inLost-$8811828%33 W · 85 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…5705backed Over12c806.76$94 inLost-$93.7333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick9cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over9c634.84$58 inLost-$5811035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over8c611.11$50 inLost-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over5c574.34$29 inLost-$28.7277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over7c285.01$20 inLost-$19.952,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over8c237.5$19 inLost-$1923528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b74…5386backed Over8c176.63$14 inLost-$14.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…80acbacked Over8c175$14 inLost-$1413528.1%38 W · 97 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x659c…dd03backed Over8c138.63$11 inLost-$11.097038.6%27 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Over8c125$10 inLost-$108042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa852…5730backed Under71c87.24$62 inWon+$25.38041.3%33 W · 47 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under51c23.41$12 inWon+$11.4766932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.