TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,493 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under15c2,735$410 inLost-$410.251,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over73c1,899$1,382 inWon+$516.652,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under11c1,800$198 inLost-$1983815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under9c1,350$122 inLost-$121.53511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5a…896cbacked Under15c899.99$135 inLost-$135258%2 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under17c683.78$116 inLost-$116.2485851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under16c636.03$103 inLost-$102.5679149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under16c563.47$92 inLost-$92.330547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under16c547$90 inLost-$89.7477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under16c523.88$84 inLost-$84.1445548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under24c469.33$112 inLost-$111.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under24c416$100 inLost-$99.8445145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x471c…b252backed Under48c399.11$190 inLost-$189.984856.3%27 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under17c273$46 inLost-$46.4116647%78 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under16c273$44 inLost-$43.6813850%69 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under20c267.3$52 inLost-$52.121,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over55c267.07$146 inWon+$120.9285550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under16c260$42 inLost-$42.137352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under60c237$143 inLost-$142.971,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under57c219$125 inLost-$125.261,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under10c204.42$20 inLost-$19.6211114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under61c150$92 inLost-$91.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under63c127.7$80 inLost-$80.4565036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under47c110.42$52 inLost-$51.631,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under15c110$17 inLost-$16.517448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under18c109$20 inLost-$19.6224947.4%118 W · 131 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under17c106.6$18 inLost-$17.9376445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under61c98.01$60 inLost-$59.791,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb9…836bbacked Under17c88.24$15 inLost-$152948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under17c80.35$14 inLost-$13.6629556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3109…4ef4backed Under18c77.78$14 inLost-$1412025.8%31 W · 89 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over80c50$40 inWon+$10.287237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over77c42.8$33 inWon+$9.772,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over45c41.75$19 inWon+$22.971,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff94…c347backed Over75c33.29$25 inWon+$8.295858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c4f…bcb5backed Over68c30$20 inWon+$9.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcff3…5cb5backed Over77c24.53$19 inWon+$5.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over80c19.12$15 inWon+$3.92,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.