Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0737609611f9732cc6ea997fdfea04588a8cdbbbe80773985d92fb31c9f37c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 64c | 9,846$6,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,576.4 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 36c | 8,238$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.2 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 37c | 2,850$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.48 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,459$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Over | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 63c | 1,111$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.11 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 63c | 999.98$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.9 | 309 | 50.8%157 W · 152 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Under | 2c | 750$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 63c | 527.63$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 37c | 520$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 283 | 26.5%75 W · 208 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over | 37c | 486.49$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Over | 36c | 426.14$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.41 | 178 | 52.2%93 W · 85 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 63c | 403.71$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Over | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a21…f1babacked Over | 37c | 263.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2993…431fbacked Over | 37c | 260.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 134 | 38.1%51 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Over | 38c | 240$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 63c | 238.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 63c | 176.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 173.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.64 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Under | 64c | 156.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 150.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 38c | 124.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Under | 62c | 120.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 63c | 119.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…63c2backed Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Over | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed Over | 27c | 99.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 37c | 94.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d81…8d1abacked Over | 28c | 71.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 37c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c87…9141backed Over | 38c | 41.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 36c | 41.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…9886backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…d62fbacked Under | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 63c | 38.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 64c | 30.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc43f…ff3fbacked Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 36c | 29.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 63c | 29.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ec…5fa4backed Over | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 47c | 28.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…2dfabacked Under | 63c | 25.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 62c | 24.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 47c | 21.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 63c | 21.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 67c | 18.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 2.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 8.5Under won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Brazil (-1.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-4.5)Norway won
- Spread: Brazil (-5.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-3.5)Brazil won
- Spread: Norway (-4.5)Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.