TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x969a…59ddbacked Over18c12,300$2,214 inLost-$2,213.979247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over17c11,406$1,939 inLost-$1,939.0129740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over16c1,422$224 inLost-$223.624,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over19c1,000$190 inLost-$19054917.9%98 W · 451 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfd…fb46backed Over18c661.56$119 inLost-$119.087444.6%33 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f0…5e9cbacked Over22c508.21$114 inLost-$113.93296.9%2 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-82.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over14c475.04$67 inLost-$67.0577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbeb…f499backed Over20c310.6$62 inLost-$62.022420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-53.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over18c300$54 inLost-$5422634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under79c289.37$227 inWon+$61.9332042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over17c275.5$46 inLost-$45.732,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfef1…9476backed Over19c257.55$50 inLost-$49.8140%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaece…6fcfbacked Over21c234.87$50 inLost-$506538.5%25 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over21c211.51$44 inLost-$44.248,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over18c205.56$37 inLost-$371,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over18c194.44$35 inLost-$3529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d9…c993backed Over20c176.12$35 inLost-$35.14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under76c164$125 inWon+$39.363,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c109$19 inLost-$18.533,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost-$205020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0d…c83abacked Over19c80$15 inLost-$15.27126.8%19 W · 52 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under76c54.45$41 inWon+$13.072,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under77c39.22$30 inWon+$9.0243460.4%262 W · 172 L+33.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon+$14.4166932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under72c14.81$11 inWon+$4.1532158.3%187 W · 134 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.