TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$376,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,715

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $376,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under73c159,576$116,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116,461.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Over32c55,825$17,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,048.018246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over30c37,229$11,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,060.2423942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c19,765$13,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,341.673,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over31c18,769$5,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,017.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over30c15,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,499.9921937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over30c14,244$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,970.911,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over31c10,601$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,346.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under70c10,000$6,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,976.927163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c8,482$2,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,930.612,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under69c7,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over20c6,812$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,459.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under67c6,053$4,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050.9977845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under0c5,642$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.642,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c4,064$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,068.482,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under69c3,841$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over30c3,671$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.1916747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…7b2fbacked Under12c2,700$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33011216.1%18 W · 94 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over30c2,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.9718929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over10c2,495$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.032,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under12c2,350$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2853511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under80c2,327$1,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over5c2,300$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.051,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over14c2,031$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.352,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under77c1,630$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.371,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over31c1,559$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07614612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over14c1,327$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.0511035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over10c1,268$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.831,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over12c1,245$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.274,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c1,157$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.881,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1c7…75eebacked Over31c1,101$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.61145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over14c1,087$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$935.382,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over30c1,035$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.3417241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over32c1,004$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.352,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under68c999.98$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.9861752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over31c969.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.071,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over31c929$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.012725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under73c906.06$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.111,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x729d…e139backed Over68c900$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.229573.7%70 W · 25 L+15.1wins+0.16per pick58cpaid+37.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6d07…6555backed Over4c750$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7231931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+141.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over30c743.89$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.781,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Over14c719.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.423522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over5c700$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66519823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aea…10c9backed Over14c699.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.34214.3%6 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under73c658.87$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.4788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b00…52eebacked Under25c650$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1617331.5%23 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick21cpaid+58.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under69c650$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf663…5654backed Over31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.168037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42f0…7eb6backed Under15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903815.8%6 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fc…6c92backed Over34c593.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.943414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over31c587.26$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.212055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over31c564.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5122951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over31c564.51$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.5118051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa458…82c3backed Over31c553.94$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over31c530$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over6c501.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.461,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under68c500$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34032042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35012227.9%34 W · 88 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Under69c499.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9926344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under46c462.25$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6172247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over24c449.99$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9943826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Over30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over30c400$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over13c384.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.6219939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over32c375.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5322652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe96f…22a2backed Under68c367.95$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.214643.5%20 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over80c360$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.212266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Over6c333.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.337711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over30c333$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.151315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fff…89e9backed Over30c329.98$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.997350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under69c325.01$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7289…8d16backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.586162.3%38 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+33.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over15c322.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.1119448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over31c309.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8810532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over26c302.73$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.7322449.1%110 W · 114 L+20.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under72c296.08$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.251,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7828134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over24c275.7$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over13c273.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.845020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Over30c264.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.925251.2%129 W · 123 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2184…4c8ebacked Over46c262.78$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.783959%23 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under78c254.02$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over7c249.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.052,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb981…27dbbacked Over31c241.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.942343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+35.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under70c240.05$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf150…b6ffbacked Over32c235.95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.294650%23 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+37.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under70c209.62$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9842554.4%231 W · 194 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over31c203.23$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2317240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Over24c200.71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Under69c190.52$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.463363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b1f…3fd0backed Over16c187.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.515837.3%59 W · 99 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2d…0a9fbacked Over32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.510443.3%45 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Over31c185.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.523935.9%14 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…5c4abacked Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.672343.5%10 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2924162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2915645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3a…1a0cbacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.292962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2935251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe88d…3db1backed Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.296735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.