TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,655,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,637,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,655,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 713 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over4c186,181$6,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,619.823,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c177,742$128,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,172.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over34c97,390$33,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,031.38,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over2c69,995$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20059453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Over34c51,890$17,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,642.5712536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under68c30,290$20,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,839.7351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over18c24,586$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,488.561,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1228…a86ebacked Over0c18,755$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.012524%6 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick17cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over34c17,991$6,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,11745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over30c16,247$4,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,873.984932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under74c15,272$11,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.862,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over35c14,500$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,074.989551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under66c14,437$9,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.593638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over17c14,170$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.71,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over3c13,581$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.6234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over2c13,548$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.092,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over23c13,537$3,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,070.531,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c12,802$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.524,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over2c11,761$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3751514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c11,758$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.57626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over1c11,274$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd552…799cbacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025437.4%95 W · 159 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Under80c8,530$6,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.963571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over34c8,226$2,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,792.541,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over20c8,066$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x327a…99bfbacked Under65c6,154$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,153.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over33c6,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98017748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab6…05febacked Over35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1006132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7a…6f03backed Under67c5,997$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,978.973100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over10c5,979$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.4539644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Over34c5,882$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under64c5,800$3,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.944252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over12c5,748$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.9837223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Over0c5,088$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1717229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa092…11e3backed Over33c5,019$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.412846.9%60 W · 68 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9710128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x725d…42b0backed Over4c4,939$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.563735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over36c4,934$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.277416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca51…0f4abacked Over1c4,908$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.563167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over34c4,745$1,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.1370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over24c4,700$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.9911638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over3c4,687$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.033,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over32c4,531$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,431.5431545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under65c4,393$2,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.331,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over10c4,329$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9922342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over34c3,828$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.7433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over3c3,793$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over0c3,585$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over12c3,484$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.5338526.8%103 W · 282 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under67c3,474$2,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under71c3,333$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.5719037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Over33c3,333$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.882025%5 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under58c3,300$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.0632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over37c3,274$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.4933843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Under67c3,225$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.746241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02032642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09a3…2349backed Under67c2,990$2,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.554440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over16c2,956$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.192,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Over33c2,952$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.2847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over34c2,935$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99832922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Over37c2,934$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.45044%22 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over32c2,901$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.331,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under57c2,823$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.231,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Over34c2,794$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9502725.9%7 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Over36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over41c2,690$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.6775335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c2,588$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.272,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under65c2,506$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.151,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c2,500$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.823,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over23c2,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58517625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over34c2,369$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80058029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under58c2,304$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.6328251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over25c2,300$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.9937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under64c2,214$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.8711952.9%63 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Under68c2,206$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.883751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over18c2,129$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.2174752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over36c2,039$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.0912248.4%59 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over32c2,009$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36028526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805911.9%7 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+220.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbd7…8772backed Over27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5405518.2%10 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Under67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9811755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under66c1,999$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.7321450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085c…10e1backed Over33c1,978$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb696…7a4ebacked Under67c1,890$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.413259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8192…e1b9backed Over36c1,765$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.3110135.6%36 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over35c1,700$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59536247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over36c1,667$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60026644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Over3c1,632$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.974254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c1,624$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.311,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Over4c1,618$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.5758942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d17…5297backed Over36c1,594$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.873821.1%8 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+96.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over30c1,594$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.0243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa7…b25bbacked Over35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5254341.9%18 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5257338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ccb…05b3backed Under65c1,480$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.884436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.