TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,171,350
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,287,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,171,350 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 938 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c1,032,701$502,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,215.974,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa235…34bbbacked Over48c419,999$199,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220,099.682524%6 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Over56c267,390$149,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,651.642669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under48c160,214$76,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,323.8974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under37c144,056$53,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,826.1277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over46c100,000$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,999.979747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c62,284$31,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,223.283,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over53c60,394$31,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,395.5664446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over70c58,840$41,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,708.278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over63c56,478$35,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,134.312,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over78c50,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,999.974178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under29c46,438$13,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,414.753,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under19c44,655$8,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,484.513234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under31c41,966$12,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,812.2644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over56c40,000$22,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,60042345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over53c37,958$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,958.2316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb225…3d54backed Under19c35,000$6,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,649.989525.3%24 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cc0…5765backed Over55c35,000$19,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,749.96152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under45c33,333$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.8511647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under59c30,455$17,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,906.964748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Under48c29,225$14,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,00013036.2%47 W · 83 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd42b…baf1backed Over56c26,724$14,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,758.572152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under36c25,778$9,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,391.552,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Over79c25,316$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,316.4610457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Over53c18,180$9,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,544.598258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under21c18,018$3,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,770.5666846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over69c18,000$12,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,579.999451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under4c16,414$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.851,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under19c16,141$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.7333538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over42c15,699$6,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,107.5642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over42c15,198$6,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,842.81,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed Under23c12,611$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.492040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Over28c12,500$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,999.962748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under49c12,308$6,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,066.4543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ac…dc89backed Over28c11,123$3,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,008.568913.5%12 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Under19c10,757$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.834057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca02…76d3backed Under19c10,530$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.687835.9%28 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Over51c10,500$5,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,144.973663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under54c10,231$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,528.0920150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under49c10,044$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.911,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under44c10,000$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4259440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,3007163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50026447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Over55c10,000$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50013742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under31c9,999$3,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.2231851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under56c9,889$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,549.4737650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Over49c9,243$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,674.9234731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x969a…59ddbacked Under19c8,830$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.729247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c8,397$1,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,603.791,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under18c8,372$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.011,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e8…0153backed Over78c8,333$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.331844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over36c8,035$2,871 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,164.221,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under32c7,911$2,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,565.8433740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Over51c7,800$3,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,821.9926445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under43c7,761$3,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,319.1537223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c7,724$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under30c7,440$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.5430626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under31c7,117$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.92,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under46c6,786$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,148.0925942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c6,590$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.221,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Over64c6,250$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25011747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over55c6,183$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.0136247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed Under17c6,182$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.971625%4 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c6,144$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.911,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over42c6,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.983625%9 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under59c5,770$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,423.0129740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under18c5,710$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.8520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under22c5,698$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.392,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over45c5,270$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,873.9821722.1%48 W · 169 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over53c5,200$2,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,422.9937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Under20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Over41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9502646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Under20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5005824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9916050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79e8…8c49backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.982441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bca…835dbacked Under67c4,921$3,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,297.046241.9%26 W · 36 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e47…34a2backed Under44c4,800$2,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1127342.5%31 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Over42c4,762$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.93467.6%23 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over38c4,755$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.1731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over58c4,702$2,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.9363544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c6…b27bbacked Under56c4,416$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.819649.5%97 W · 99 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over61c4,411$2,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.982,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under52c4,365$2,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.5339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over41c4,317$1,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.5427032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed Under73c4,253$3,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,104.573762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over16c4,074$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.7451514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over72c4,071$2,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.64,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Over55c4,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.995335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb962…45febacked Over67c4,000$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.475435.2%19 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under50c3,941$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.1464850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Over54c3,855$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.412548%12 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed Under49c3,712$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.2613037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Over26c3,700$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,737.993050%15 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d47…d0a2backed Under19c3,689$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over27c3,624$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.1829138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.