TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Brazil (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Norwayof Brazil, Norway
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,425

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,147 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Brazil4c39,054$1,403 inLost-$1,402.632,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Brazil4c15,453$644 inLost-$643.642710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Brazil5c10,629$531 inLost-$531.431,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Brazil2c9,116$146 inLost-$145.841,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked Brazil1c8,615$62 inLost-$62.256819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Brazil5c6,994$350 inLost-$349.6825019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Brazil5c3,150$158 inLost-$157.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Brazil3c2,667$80 inLost-$8090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Brazil1c2,000$26 inLost-$25.8931232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Brazil3c1,745$51 inLost-$51.222,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5ff…8450backed Brazil16c1,322$210 inLost-$210.296016.7%10 W · 50 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-60.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Brazil3c1,106$33 inLost-$33.182,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Brazil4c791.61$32 inLost-$31.6672722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Brazil2c592.2$14 inLost-$13.71,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Brazil5c500.42$23 inLost-$23.383,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Brazil4c500$20 inLost-$2047127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066b…e07ebacked Brazil5c400$20 inLost-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Brazil4c390$16 inLost-$15.697742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Brazil4c377.47$17 inLost-$16.63,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Brazil5c300$15 inLost-$151,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Brazil6c290.32$17 inLost-$17.4227034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0e0…2838backed Brazil5c200$10 inLost-$101915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Norway78c19.18$15 inWon+$4.1866932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.