TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0e0…2838

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
56
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)backed Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Germany vs Ivory Coast FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will John Stones be in England's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will Renato Veiga be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$28.49
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.02
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$42.75
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.79
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$23.02
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+56%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+102.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Arnaldi vs Graybacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.28
ITF Zhengzhou: Junhan Zhang vs Chenting Zhubacked Chenting Zhu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$18.59
Rinky Hijikata vs. Jiri Lehecka: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$2.99
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawibacked Malawi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be below 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.