TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof EDward Gaming, Team WE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$963,335
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,107,838

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $963,335 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming19c378,152$71,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,753.632,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed EDward Gaming24c37,777$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00018330.1%55 W · 128 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a0c…6ca7backed Team WE69c28,653$19,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,013.557054.3%38 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Team WE70c26,831$18,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,049.412160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked Team WE67c20,698$13,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,830.325453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed EDward Gaming16c20,662$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,230.0543442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked EDward Gaming15c19,060$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.941546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Team WE67c18,000$12,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,9406636.4%24 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe97…361ebacked Team WE67c16,599$11,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,474.223372.7%24 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed EDward Gaming6c15,289$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.241050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ebf…5a20backed Team WE69c15,150$10,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,704.582060%12 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Team WE69c15,000$10,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,619.622355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked EDward Gaming34c14,930$5,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.475352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed EDward Gaming30c14,378$4,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,313.3912226.2%32 W · 90 L-11.8wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed EDward Gaming31c14,300$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.9938235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked EDward Gaming31c13,934$4,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,279.51,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Team WE64c12,688$8,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,549.7112840.6%52 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Team WE77c10,987$8,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.1635448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed EDward Gaming31c10,350$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.646637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed EDward Gaming31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10014553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked EDward Gaming32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9814342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Team WE68c9,761$6,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.8817444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked EDward Gaming33c9,091$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00022757.3%130 W · 97 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…4281backed Team WE67c8,525$5,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.253857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team WE68c8,243$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.6559148.2%285 W · 306 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed EDward Gaming30c7,777$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,333.0832234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed EDward Gaming32c7,413$2,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,372.0221347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…45eebacked Team WE70c7,326$5,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.5759558.3%347 W · 248 L-29.3wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ff9…aaa7backed Team WE68c6,798$4,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.513363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked EDward Gaming33c6,772$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,234.751,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Team WE73c6,460$4,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.2316845.2%76 W · 92 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed EDward Gaming20c6,100$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23019239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…2c98backed Team WE69c5,757$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,757.113548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Team WE67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed EDward Gaming32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6001,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c4…1018backed EDward Gaming33c5,000$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67031953%169 W · 150 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed EDward Gaming38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9959554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6135…efa0backed Team WE69c4,883$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,513.7813037.7%49 W · 81 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed EDward Gaming12c4,500$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.531,20740%483 W · 724 L-63.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed EDward Gaming31c4,500$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3951,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…fc9bbacked Team WE63c4,446$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.037247.2%34 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…5e4fbacked EDward Gaming31c4,135$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.983043.3%13 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked EDward Gaming32c4,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.9930321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked EDward Gaming32c3,461$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.011435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b52…f071backed Team WE72c3,330$2,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.6712649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed Team WE74c3,250$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83020450.5%103 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked EDward Gaming10c3,187$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3134151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd00…952dbacked Team WE67c3,146$2,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.188060%48 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Team WE67c3,116$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed EDward Gaming32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9982352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed Team WE68c2,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.1812354.5%67 W · 56 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Team WE68c2,937$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.8446050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed EDward Gaming28c2,776$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.6122240.1%89 W · 133 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team WE80c2,207$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.662,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ed…41b2backed EDward Gaming32c2,057$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.237460.8%45 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed EDward Gaming35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…2208backed EDward Gaming30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005328.3%15 W · 38 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Team WE69c1,602$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.5721751.2%111 W · 106 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed EDward Gaming33c1,525$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.248043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Team WE67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ce…e206backed Team WE67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49522452.2%117 W · 107 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4ac…9722backed Team WE70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509944.4%44 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c70…9168backed Team WE62c1,445$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.15949.2%29 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Team WE70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5743542.8%186 W · 249 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e58…5749backed Team WE69c1,420$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.076858.8%40 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked EDward Gaming31c1,365$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.1554134.8%188 W · 353 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba4f…b37bbacked Team WE67c1,320$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.674055%22 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda61…2877backed Team WE63c1,295$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.142245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Team WE66c1,260$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.2612754.3%69 W · 58 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed EDward Gaming20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Team WE78c1,214$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.921,93048.2%930 W · 1,000 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Team WE70c1,200$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36028448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team WE78c1,192$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.192,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b7…a214backed Team WE70c1,141$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.534276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Team WE65c1,120$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.8616346.6%76 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed EDward Gaming8c1,119$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8456432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x885b…a30dbacked EDward Gaming17c1,119$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.24930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Team WE65c1,100$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked EDward Gaming33c1,100$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9967549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Team WE68c1,012$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9911650.9%59 W · 57 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Team WE67c1,002$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.571,81839.9%726 W · 1,092 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Team WE69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31047047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Team WE67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Team WE69c999.98$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9936155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked EDward Gaming32c999.97$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9988950.5%449 W · 440 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a4c…068abacked EDward Gaming16c970.65$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1910335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Team WE68c888$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.2939651%202 W · 194 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Team WE67c873$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.093026.7%8 W · 22 L-9.1wins-0.30per pick57cpaid-59.8%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed EDward Gaming31c833.93$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.5247533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed EDward Gaming31c833$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2313933.8%47 W · 92 L-14.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed EDward Gaming33c820.35$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.5124655.7%137 W · 109 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4031…c848backed EDward Gaming33c755$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.65030%15 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Team WE68c725.99$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3214346.9%67 W · 76 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c23…418bbacked Team WE70c714.75$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.715058%29 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Team WE67c709.21$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.951,04450.4%526 W · 518 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed EDward Gaming19c700$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332,49047.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed EDward Gaming31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20076953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Team WE68c643.68$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.9813844.2%61 W · 77 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd2…b613backed Team WE70c634.29$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2925660.5%155 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed EDward Gaming32c630$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.62,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.