TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x96b7…a214

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Valorant, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4276.2%32 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.43
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.56
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$718.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$580Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$150.03
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$143.06
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$87.11
LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$76.83
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$428Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$142.71
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$105.84
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$795Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$346.53
LoL: LNG Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$251.29
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$179.01
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$83.19
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$63.27
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$31.67
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.93
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.96
LoL: VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$25.2
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.15
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Valorant — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$50.22
Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs BBL Esports (+1.5)backed BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.05
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.88
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$15.94
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.72
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.32
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.26
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.4
Valorant: So:sweet vs ONSIDE GAMING - Map 1 Winnerbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.75
Valorant: Gen.G Global Academy vs Dplus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dplus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Valorant: T1 Academy vs X-CAST - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.16
Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.51
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.