TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof Rex Regum Qeon, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,528

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Rex Regum Qeon45c15,555$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.724145.2%109 W · 132 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed 100 Thieves59c5,620$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,311.6619648.5%95 W · 101 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed 100 Thieves55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Rex Regum Qeon33c1,800$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Rex Regum Qeon35c1,395$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.4134857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 100 Thieves59c1,168$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.231,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed 100 Thieves67c1,164$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.2654751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9219…027cbacked 100 Thieves69c1,111$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.761070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed 100 Thieves55c1,014$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.164143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x823d…f85bbacked 100 Thieves55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.091338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x860a…2754backed 100 Thieves55c880.78$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.352245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves68c768.98$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.311,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed 100 Thieves55c661.02$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.464660.9%28 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed 100 Thieves55c635$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked 100 Thieves55c608.2$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.69475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Rex Regum Qeon34c598.61$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.539151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed 100 Thieves55c567.66$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4510159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed 100 Thieves66c554.19$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.877533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Rex Regum Qeon34c551.05$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.6150944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves65c495$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.371,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed 100 Thieves63c468.35$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1114850.7%75 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed 100 Thieves51c424.61$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0610842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked 100 Thieves66c399.99$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13614653.4%78 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves62c396.94$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.321,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed 100 Thieves55c354.08$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.342853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked 100 Thieves64c311.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.693865.8%25 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed Rex Regum Qeon38c299.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1143852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Rex Regum Qeon6c299.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910628.3%30 W · 76 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves55c299$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8881134.9%283 W · 528 L-60.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rex Regum Qeon27c295.98$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7584838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves64c275$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.831,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbd8…d03fbacked 100 Thieves67c214$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.623666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed 100 Thieves54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.743059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked 100 Thieves64c209.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7521153.6%113 W · 98 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc62e…2d85backed Rex Regum Qeon48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Rex Regum Qeon28c204.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4519847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf868…3b45backed Rex Regum Qeon38c200.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.381330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5440…f13bbacked 100 Thieves67c193.54$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.875653.6%30 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed 100 Thieves55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Rex Regum Qeon40c176.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010225.5%26 W · 76 L-10.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-37.4%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked Rex Regum Qeon36c163.19$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.753834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Rex Regum Qeon30c160$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486251.6%32 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed 100 Thieves58c148$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.621457%122 W · 92 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Rex Regum Qeon45c147.77$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1722455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58f9…7d44backed 100 Thieves55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.454477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.2wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6c6…933abacked 100 Thieves76c129.84$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8412856.3%72 W · 56 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed 100 Thieves70c121.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6139166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Rex Regum Qeon35c116.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4110844.4%48 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed 100 Thieves66c114.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9527956.6%158 W · 121 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed Rex Regum Qeon35c111.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0516950.9%86 W · 83 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1110…ea61backed 100 Thieves70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 100 Thieves69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…511bbacked 100 Thieves66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed Rex Regum Qeon32c94.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6165347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Rex Regum Qeon32c91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1260022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1d1…6a15backed Rex Regum Qeon30c89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Rex Regum Qeon34c88.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9321240.1%85 W · 127 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Rex Regum Qeon36c73.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.426033.3%20 W · 40 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked 100 Thieves68c71.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5322539.1%88 W · 137 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabbc…04a3backed 100 Thieves62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.525738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed 100 Thieves67c61.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4913456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f84…98f1backed 100 Thieves67c56.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.715358.5%31 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x288d…00eabacked 100 Thieves55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Rex Regum Qeon38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013044.6%58 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked 100 Thieves58c51.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5813043.8%57 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96b7…a214backed 100 Thieves67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51580%12 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked 100 Thieves62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.396643.9%29 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Rex Regum Qeon24c48.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6790733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1ccf…bb7ebacked Rex Regum Qeon36c47.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 100 Thieves70c46.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2355348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked 100 Thieves65c45.93$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9318148.6%88 W · 93 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed 100 Thieves55c45.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.627850%39 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed Rex Regum Qeon42c39.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.696560%39 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves62c37.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed 100 Thieves59c35.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.712564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Rex Regum Qeon41c35.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7166650.8%338 W · 328 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Rex Regum Qeon32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick66cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a1b…dcf3backed 100 Thieves55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.276352.4%33 W · 30 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 100 Thieves70c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.399846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd4…9bcdbacked 100 Thieves70c23.73$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1212862.5%80 W · 48 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick70cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x957c…422bbacked 100 Thieves67c22.36$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked 100 Thieves70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66955.1%38 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed 100 Thieves55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked 100 Thieves76c19.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.635354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.