TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd8a5…26a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
390
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT15749.7%78 W · 79 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 2 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.99
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.78
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 1 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$375.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$302.26
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$894Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$460.44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$297.02
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$973Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$314.69
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.74
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+65.4%+$263
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$137.38
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$206.61
Counter-Strike: Revise vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerbacked FORZE Reload · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$306.62
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$442.14
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$182.38
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs Butterfly - Map 2 Winnerbacked Butterfly · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$47.85
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$51.91
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80.49
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$60.02
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,276.24
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.66
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Brute - Map 1 Winnerbacked Brute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,212.75
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$225.44
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$623Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26%+$161.85
Counter-Strike: paiN vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.7
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Academy vs BIG Academy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Bbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.72
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT11154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+26%+$25.85
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.37
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$585.32
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,887.85
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$796.57
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,968Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$1,300.06
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,505.42
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.87
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.43
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$37.83
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.85
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.89
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.74
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.48
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66%+$25.9
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.26
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$422.75
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.03
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.46
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Dota 2: 1win vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$161.04
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs Dynasty - Game 1 Winnerbacked Once Upon A Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$295
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$336
LoL: FlyQuest vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$222
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)backed UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$356.7
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.95
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.78
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked CCG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$301.82
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)backed NRG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.38
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 2 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$121.48
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 4 Winnerbacked Maryville University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.64
LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$98.81
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 1 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$87.62
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.27
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.59
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.97
Game Handicap: KRX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$216.81
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$207.58
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 1 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.14
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$175
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$150.65
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$336.17
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$159.34
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$87.55
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.88
Map Handicap: TE (-1.5) vs Any Questions Gaming (+1.5)backed Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$334.77
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$75.28
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$336.09
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsbacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,108.66
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Division One - Map 2 Winnerbacked Division One · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.46
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$672.51
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$478.99
Valorant: TEC Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$180.16
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$499
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$95.49
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Abacked Pixel Lumina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.34
Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions - Map 2 Winnerbacked F9 EICAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$187.87
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs Nuxeria Esport (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked Caldya Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$147.43
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$305.99
Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.17
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.46
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$65.28
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$97
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$719.45
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$656Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$274.53
Portugal vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.53
Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$294.58
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.78
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.36
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,458Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$537.45
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.71
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.13
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$155.09
France vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$236.19
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Simona Waltertbacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
Set 1 Winner: Basiletti vs Tomljanovicbacked Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.89
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33%+$32.19
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cristian Garin vs Alexander Zverevbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.98
Menorca: Alex Martinez vs Daniel Rinconbacked Alex Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$74.53
Miyazaki: Liam Broady vs Blake Ellisbacked Liam Broady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.66
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.08
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+133.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$164.23
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$129.5
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.84
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$50.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.