CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b64cbb5e9b3da83570b3bc6d43220ac5b0d2d5e37961c9dd2e832f36e525e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA | 73c | 1,090$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 921.83$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.74 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 785.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 33c | 637.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.67 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 74c | 619.69$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 392$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 66c | 375$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 55c | 369.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 20c | 316.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.11 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 302.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 79c | 273.69$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 245.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 18c | 208.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 196.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 17c | 191.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…9c8fbacked SPARTA | 79c | 170$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA | 65c | 164.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 125.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed SPARTA | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MOUZ NXT | 33c | 89.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 89.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 84.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 557 | 49.7%277 W · 280 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SPARTA | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 79.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 76.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked SPARTA | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 72.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 71.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed SPARTA | 78c | 69.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MOUZ NXT | 35c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed SPARTA | 54c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed SPARTA | 36c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked SPARTA | 72c | 34.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed SPARTA | 68c | 32.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SPARTA | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked SPARTA | 71c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.