CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2867a3fd937d458e97e51cc84455abb547d0693b6be669444bc496c1ec46c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 75c | 2,613$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1169backed MOUZ NXT | 13c | 2,500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed MOUZ NXT | 2c | 1,552$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 21c | 1,107$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ NXT | 18c | 1,107$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.36 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed SPARTA | 74c | 1,084$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.82 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 946.04$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.3 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 76c | 792.9$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MOUZ NXT | 8c | 789.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 675.08$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.77 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed SPARTA | 52c | 660$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…0a69backed SPARTA | 39c | 513.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked SPARTA | 71c | 503.49$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.94 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 402.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked MOUZ NXT | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 344.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed MOUZ NXT | 10c | 334.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 69 | 15.9%11 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…c619backed SPARTA | 71c | 307.52$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2709…295bbacked MOUZ NXT | 21c | 287.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 74c | 282.33$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed SPARTA | 77c | 236.93$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked SPARTA | 78c | 223.58$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f9…6c15backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 210.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 19c | 179.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 14c | 174.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed SPARTA | 80c | 165.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked MOUZ NXT | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b88…16e6backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 138.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 158 | 23.4%37 W · 121 L | -18.0wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked SPARTA | 76c | 127.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 125$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed MOUZ NXT | 12c | 115.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 92.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked SPARTA | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed SPARTA | 72c | 89.11$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked MOUZ NXT | 22c | 79.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 76.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked SPARTA | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked MOUZ NXT | 27c | 69.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…526abacked MOUZ NXT | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed SPARTA | 74c | 62.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed MOUZ NXT | 26c | 59.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa460…9e09backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 56.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 59c | 51.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 75c | 49.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SPARTA | 55c | 47.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed SPARTA | 75c | 46.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc53d…7ffcbacked SPARTA | 75c | 44.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed MOUZ NXT | 58c | 42.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed MOUZ NXT | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…263dbacked SPARTA | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked SPARTA | 57c | 35.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed MOUZ NXT | 47c | 33.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…6198backed SPARTA | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed SPARTA | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked SPARTA | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SPARTA | 72c | 29.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed SPARTA | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…4d52backed SPARTA | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed SPARTA | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 75c | 27.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1afc…2abdbacked SPARTA | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed SPARTA | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed SPARTA | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…7518backed SPARTA | 76c | 19.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f4…6950backed SPARTA | 76c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…b69dbacked SPARTA | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.