CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f1d3a2254afc78291fe2e3bec65b5562778b242ad5a275a8322c1d5ff6829f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 51c | 339.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 281.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed MOUZ NXT | 59c | 253.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.87 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed SPARTA | 44c | 185.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7955…ce08backed MOUZ NXT | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 116.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 44c | 110.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 41c | 109.49$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed MOUZ NXT | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…33c4backed MOUZ NXT | 57c | 69.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SPARTA | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed SPARTA | 45c | 47.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SPARTA | 45c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…5b7cbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 45.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed SPARTA | 41c | 39.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SPARTA | 45c | 36.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked SPARTA | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…a02dbacked MOUZ NXT | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked SPARTA | 45c | 28.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 58c | 26.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.