CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd64cd0607e94584976c2fd9810bef62bcd2e48ceb16e64aa45c7da5cbdd13da0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 72c | 2,519$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.81 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 1,841$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.8 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 1,841$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.77 | 569 | 41.3%235 W · 334 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed SPARTA | 76c | 1,287$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.69 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed SPARTA | 76c | 725.42$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed MOUZ NXT | 9c | 615.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 79c | 612.68$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA | 67c | 579.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…2e18backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 560.46$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked SPARTA | 76c | 512.79$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.07 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 453.35$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed MOUZ NXT | 23c | 438$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed MOUZ NXT | 29c | 379.4$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked MOUZ NXT | 26c | 349.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ NXT | 17c | 319.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 255$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked MOUZ NXT | 28c | 196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 10c | 172.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MOUZ NXT | 14c | 172.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed MOUZ NXT | 9c | 171.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked SPARTA | 76c | 158.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 1,038 | 57.4%596 W · 442 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 151.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 270 | 48.9%132 W · 138 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 12c | 151$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MOUZ NXT | 55c | 138.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 77c | 135.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked MOUZ NXT | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed MOUZ NXT | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MOUZ NXT | 9c | 113.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed MOUZ NXT | 14c | 81.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked MOUZ NXT | 27c | 72.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed SPARTA | 74c | 67.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked MOUZ NXT | 28c | 51.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MOUZ NXT | 36c | 48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8037…04fabacked SPARTA | 78c | 43.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked MOUZ NXT | 55c | 43.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 42.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 35.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed SPARTA | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 430 | 55.1%237 W · 193 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group CSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+3.5)SPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.