Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad3bb054f52d2ab94718dac76ff0306baa0dc8a88de39a631c4762e115dc144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Gentle Mates, Karmine Corp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Gentle Mates | 59c | 7,116$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.1 | 260 | 50%130 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 5,968$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.07 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 5,057$3,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.76 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Karmine Corp | 35c | 3,897$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.34 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 3,697$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.66 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 2,700$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.49 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 2,667$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.2 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Karmine Corp | 61c | 2,530$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.75 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 2,204$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.65 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 1,577$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Gentle Mates | 18c | 1,306$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.01 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 1,257$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.39 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 1,221$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.37 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Gentle Mates | 49c | 1,025$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Karmine Corp | 56c | 957.85$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.4 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 894.55$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.67 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…dd32backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 758.82$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 560.91$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.88 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 501.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.92 | 531 | 59.1%314 W · 217 L | +41.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 480.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 465.51$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.1 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Gentle Mates | 19c | 398.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 388.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 374.38$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 361.95$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 357.83$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd153…f849backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 357.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Karmine Corp | 56c | 355.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Gentle Mates | 6c | 320.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522d…3913backed Gentle Mates | 71c | 267.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 254.56$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…4144backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 239.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 236.37$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…0317backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 227.95$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…db37backed Gentle Mates | 9c | 207.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…9e1bbacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 205$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Karmine Corp | 24c | 201.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 182.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.58 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Karmine Corp | 60c | 182.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 179.08$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Karmine Corp | 36c | 149.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Karmine Corp | 46c | 139.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 134.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed Gentle Mates | 48c | 119.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Gentle Mates | 20c | 115.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates | 31c | 109.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 100.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 99.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked Karmine Corp | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Karmine Corp | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Gentle Mates | 53c | 89.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Gentle Mates | 56c | 85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 91 | 33%30 W · 61 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 78.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 75.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Gentle Mates | 40c | 73.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 72.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Karmine Corp | 60c | 60.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Gentle Mates | 20c | 59.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…8175backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…31e9backed Gentle Mates | 45c | 54.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…aa94backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 51.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…7e22backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 47.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3773…e51bbacked Gentle Mates | 29c | 43.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 41.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 38.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Gentle Mates | 72c | 34.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 28.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Gentle Mates | 57c | 28.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed Gentle Mates | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…88c9backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 19.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: GM (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group AlphaGentle Mates won
- Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.