TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6510…36d1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
271
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 58 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT7327.4%20 W · 53 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.28
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.22
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.87
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.3
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.86
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.87
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+331.4%+$280.39
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.9
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.55
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked DetonatioN FocusMe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.06
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.11
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe - Game 2 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$6.79
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.44
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.21
LoL: Ici Japon Corp. Esport vs TLN Pirates (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Dark Passage vs SU Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked SU Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$41.65
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$178
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
LoL: mCon esports vs Dynasty (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Seasonbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT7321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Ursa (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Counter-Strike: Imperial Academy vs Infinite (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$27.64
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+115%+$31.02
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Counter-Strike: ex-MINLATE vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-MINLATE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+83%+$14.97
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked Voca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Counter-Strike: Basement Bobs vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Bbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+376.5%+$85.3
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs TYLOO (BO5) - Yuqilin Pinnacle of Battle Playoffsbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$12.06
Counter-Strike: Chinggis Warriors vs NSN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia Cup #3 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.92
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.76
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$22.31
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.03
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+630%+$149.3
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Hashiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT5334%18 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.6
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$76.8
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 247.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.77
Spread: Jazz (-3.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$49.62
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$30
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.8
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.1
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$105
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 249.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+309.4%+$264.5
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 248.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.56
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+173.7%+$33
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+159.8%+$82.18
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$44.83
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+224%+$24.89
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Stage Deciderbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.97
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$12.06
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+177.2%+$79.9
Dota 2: 1win vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$20.33
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$10.76
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+251.6%+$61.54
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Pipsqueak+4 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$12.95
Dota 2: 1win vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Abacked VP.Prodigy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs GLYPH - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Dota 2: MOUZ vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$23.03
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: XtremeDogs vs Bitfix Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group Bbacked Bitfix Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.82
Valorant: Caldya Esport vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winnerbacked Caldya Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.3
Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$28.5
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.61
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.35
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Valorant: Insomnia vs Riddle (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.49
Map Handicap: RDL (-1.5) vs WEC C (+1.5)backed Riddle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$24.4
Valorant: REIGNITE FOXX vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan: Phase 2backed REIGNITE FOXX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+157.9%+$43.47
Valorant: Team Secret vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.8%+$15.22
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.68
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+158.9%+$25.78
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.41
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$51.75
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$66.48
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$48.75
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.84
All 14 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Jiangsu Dragonsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$13.26
Qingdao Eagles vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.8
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Beijing Royal Fighters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineersbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$23.08
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+9,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+9,900%+$990
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.