TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Crashers vs Keyd (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Crashersof Crashers, Keyd
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,580

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51db…f9b3backed Crashers46c5,491$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,956.376,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Keyd53c5,046$2,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,670.3457358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Keyd52c3,026$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.7857641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Crashers43c2,863$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,642.163,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Crashers49c2,364$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.937,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7857…bab6backed Crashers42c1,951$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,140.095160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Crashers46c1,629$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8821,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Keyd57c1,562$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.3310950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Crashers39c1,548$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.162,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Keyd57c1,212$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1238942.4%165 W · 224 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Keyd57c1,208$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.0422534.2%77 W · 148 L-19.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-36.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Crashers46c1,161$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.884,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Crashers39c1,005$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.422253.2%118 W · 104 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Crashers38c997.1$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.0116738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Crashers26c949.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.8152636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…e9b4backed Keyd58c846.91$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.264348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Keyd60c665.27$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.572,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Crashers48c640.42$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.8749646.6%231 W · 265 L+1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Keyd34c610.01$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.5266446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Keyd66c598.07$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.9446843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Keyd2c559.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.195211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick18cpaid+16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Crashers47c558.3$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.5578043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Keyd21c553.68$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.572,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Keyd54c541.44$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.545,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Crashers56c428.23$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.332,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Keyd75c399.79$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1119850.5%100 W · 98 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Crashers49c388.89$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.928660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd32c341.5$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.543,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14f4…fa45backed Crashers33c336.59$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.118645.3%39 W · 47 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Crashers47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15820358.1%118 W · 85 L+22.4wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Crashers39c288.77$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.542,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Crashers54c271.35$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.519139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e67…e2e6backed Keyd71c262.19$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.164766%31 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…c45cbacked Crashers38c258.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Keyd22c251.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0664439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed Crashers40c244.94$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8615930.8%49 W · 110 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd57c237.56$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.242,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4b…eb19backed Keyd75c201.97$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Crashers50c199.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.911,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Crashers23c195.32$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.418341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Keyd77c192.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3221653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Keyd74c172.54$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6825147.8%120 W · 131 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Keyd25c167.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3645224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Keyd80c165.95$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.582934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.8wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Keyd33c137.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0148319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Keyd49c123.5$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5252951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Crashers24c119.32$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8154439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Keyd76c119$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4454348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d7…f131backed Keyd74c118.94$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0933451.5%172 W · 162 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Keyd20c116$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6336334.2%124 W · 239 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked Crashers45c115.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.925250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Keyd53c114.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.481,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Crashers39c112.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.467040%28 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Keyd18c112.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Keyd40c109.71$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.042,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Crashers39c108.86$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4179951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Keyd48c107.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.731,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Crashers28c106$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3218545.4%84 W · 101 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Keyd59c105.49$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.73,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Keyd58c100.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.497744.2%34 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Crashers20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe67d…573dbacked Keyd35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Crashers49c98.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.361,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed Crashers24c95.44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.536735.8%24 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Crashers44c92.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7230254.3%164 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Keyd51c90.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.521,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Keyd54c88.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.785949.2%29 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Keyd58c84.32$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9151755.9%289 W · 228 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Crashers52c80.6$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5938858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb59…fb90backed Keyd65c79.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.545048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Keyd58c77.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.723072.6%167 W · 63 L+27.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Keyd60c75.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4712368.3%84 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Crashers28c71.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.762,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Keyd76c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.291648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb909…2d57backed Keyd71c67.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.068056.3%45 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Keyd63c65.51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.381127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-53.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Keyd45c64.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0126564.2%170 W · 95 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Crashers50c60.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.073959%23 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b60…76d5backed Keyd54c59.25$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1937841.8%158 W · 220 L-33.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Crashers68c58.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7336649.5%181 W · 185 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a9…90c6backed Keyd79c56.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Crashers48c56.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.282,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Crashers28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1641436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Crashers28c53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1645240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…7825backed Keyd71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5f…0689backed Crashers21c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.59142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4470…c22ebacked Keyd50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.257536%27 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Crashers45c48.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.451,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Keyd74c47.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2455950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee4…471fbacked Crashers23c45.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5135752.9%189 W · 168 L+22.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Keyd76c44.89$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9826075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe2df…2368backed Keyd53c42.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5811750.4%59 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4048…d4adbacked Crashers27c41.82$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.594820.8%10 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Keyd72c37.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0339946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x231d…4bdfbacked Keyd52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Keyd76c36.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5247856.7%271 W · 207 L+1.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Crashers48c35.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7520556.6%116 W · 89 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2a4…02b4backed Keyd75c33.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x276b…add4backed Keyd64c30.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95fc…10f6backed Crashers53c29.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.