TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb5f…0689

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT9142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Diamant Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.49
Counter-Strike: Fraternity vs PENSIONERS (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked PENSIONERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Counter-Strike: BOJONG vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked BOJONG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$121.56
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs NEXORA (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked NEXORA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.35
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.14
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+238.1%+$300.37
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.52
Counter-Strike: Wave Esports vs Drama eSports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Drama eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$26.4
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Bbacked Phantom Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.8
Counter-Strike: eternal premium vs Privateer Gaming (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Group Cbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$154
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Benched gods (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group Cbacked Benched gods · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.86
Counter-Strike: RoundsGG vs Inner Circle Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked RoundsGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+79%+$169.02
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BET-M 33 (-3.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+3.5)backed BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BET-M 33 (-6.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+6.5)backed BET-M 33 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Map Handicap: 33 (-1.5) vs ex-RUSTEC (+1.5)backed ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs MTX (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,785Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$3,333.61
Counter-Strike: JUMBO TEAM vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked JUMBO TEAM · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$108.95
Counter-Strike: ZOTIX vs Diamant Esports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked ZOTIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+141.5%+$29.3
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs XI Esport (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Esport BERG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$141.3
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked MEIA NOITE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Counter-Strike: KUUSAMO.gg vs Drama eSports (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked KUUSAMO.gg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.55
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs OLDBOYS- (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked XI Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.07
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs Spirit Academy Green (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Spirit Academy Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
Counter-Strike: Mai Tai vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Group Abacked Mai Tai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.52
Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs Fraternity (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Seasonbacked Sangal ALTERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.5
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Vantex Esports vs The Otter Side (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffsbacked The Otter Side · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+39.6%+$149.63
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$114.6
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.