CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde7fb2d01477aef0003e75622c5e7c8f42894fd4fe02db2a17047092eb17e658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bushido Wildcats | 20c | 1,911$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.66 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 1,874$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.72 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 1,666$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.24 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Misa Esports | 24c | 960.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.82 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 883.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.59 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 865.31$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.38 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 32c | 630.94$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 578.98$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.34 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Misa Esports | 38c | 452.29$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5f…0689backed Misa Esports | 30c | 426.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.37 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Misa Esports | 19c | 397.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 57c | 331.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.18 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Misa Esports | 71c | 321.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 297.28$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 263.53$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 13c | 255$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 31c | 196.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 181.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 176.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 174.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 161.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6e95backed Misa Esports | 64c | 137.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 61c | 111.83$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 111.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed Misa Esports | 24c | 105.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Bushido Wildcats | 14c | 73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 68.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 67.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Misa Esports | 47c | 54.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 52.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 21c | 51.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 77c | 48.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe929…b67cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 34c | 44.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 39.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c19…6d8abacked Misa Esports | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Map Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.