TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x73bb…a7d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Color - Map 2 Winnerbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.93
Counter-Strike: 300FPS vs BANGARANGA (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffsbacked BANGARANGA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Honvéd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+78%+$100.56
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Abacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagebacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+140.4%+$282.14
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.27
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+323.3%+$80.83
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Vexar - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vexar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group Cbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Group Bbacked ReThink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$99.6
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked ex-RUSTEC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.93
Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$38.28
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Inner Circle Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Inner Circle Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters - Map 2 Winnerbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$121.1
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.9
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$52.05
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs SAW Youngsters - Map 1 Winnerbacked LPH Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$53.08
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$80.17
All 19 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Joblife vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$165.86
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$41.58
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$84.33
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonbacked Lodis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$88.69
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Solary vs TLN Pirates (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+127.7%+$70.23
LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winnerbacked CITA Kaizen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$87.62
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
LoL: Brod n Friends vs DMG Esports (BO3) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Brod n Friends · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.