CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ec17177bf8ef9a04391d81fb64ebc03dc1fb93e63018238e3a0bdaf3d5f867
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noir Verseof Noir Verse, ex-RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed ex-RUSTEC | 71c | 3,611$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.67 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…6b9dbacked Noir Verse | 21c | 2,738$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.7 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Noir Verse | 38c | 1,782$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.59 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Noir Verse | 31c | 1,184$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.71 | 583 | 45.3%264 W · 319 L | -16.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad8…1b8abacked Noir Verse | 30c | 1,010$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Noir Verse | 18c | 959.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.83 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Noir Verse | 33c | 868.14$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.81 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Noir Verse | 12c | 798.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 788.81$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.24 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 773.81$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.45 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 51c | 605.87$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Noir Verse | 40c | 509.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Noir Verse | 49c | 475$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Noir Verse | 33c | 452.65$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.65 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Noir Verse | 48c | 403.15$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.19 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 61c | 342.3$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x406e…5378backed Noir Verse | 55c | 317.61$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…7f94backed Noir Verse | 32c | 289.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.57 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Noir Verse | 45c | 281.54$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 63c | 255.84$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked ex-RUSTEC | 56c | 250.27$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Noir Verse | 49c | 204.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 187.13$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…5ad0backed Noir Verse | 67c | 186.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Noir Verse | 39c | 170$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed Noir Verse | 29c | 170$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed Noir Verse | 52c | 165.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Noir Verse | 41c | 165$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Noir Verse | 45c | 160.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 55c | 151.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUSTEC | 52c | 145.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Noir Verse | 29c | 136.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 60c | 124.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.12 | 726 | 44.4%322 W · 404 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 1,318 | 51.7%682 W · 636 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 114.51$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed ex-RUSTEC | 66c | 114.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…d538backed Noir Verse | 38c | 111.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb9…2858backed ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 105.22$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Noir Verse | 11c | 105.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Noir Verse | 28c | 105$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 105$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Noir Verse | 20c | 103.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed Noir Verse | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked ex-RUSTEC | 45c | 99.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 328 | 40.2%132 W · 196 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Noir Verse | 22c | 98.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 185 | 35.1%65 W · 120 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb850…3808backed ex-RUSTEC | 47c | 95.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…dccfbacked Noir Verse | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUSTEC | 76c | 82.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-RUSTEC | 65c | 80.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Noir Verse | 51c | 78.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed ex-RUSTEC | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 113 | 75.2%85 W · 28 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-RUSTEC | 67c | 74.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Noir Verse | 50c | 73.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 607 | 53.9%327 W · 280 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Noir Verse | 31c | 73.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Noir Verse | 47c | 71.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Noir Verse | 28c | 71.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked ex-RUSTEC | 19c | 57.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 56.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-RUSTEC | 62c | 56.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Noir Verse | 57c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed ex-RUSTEC | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Noir Verse | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked ex-RUSTEC | 72c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed Noir Verse | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed Noir Verse | 55c | 39.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Noir Verse | 39c | 38.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked ex-RUSTEC | 46c | 28.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked ex-RUSTEC | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…a2adbacked ex-RUSTEC | 74c | 15.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Noir Verse | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inex-RUSTEC won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs Noir Verse (+1.5)Noir Verse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.