CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x706b4845c3aadd53b45e15634a9d5d52ecd5383fea46720eaacb40207c098885
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 45c | 3,445$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.59 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 55c | 3,239$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Over | 43c | 976.8$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 928.94$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.62 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 56c | 916.88$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.42 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Over | 29c | 778.81$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.99 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Over | 44c | 704.55$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.55 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Over | 44c | 550.47$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.46 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 7c | 450.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…6db9backed Over | 45c | 406.67$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 79c | 347.51$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Over | 37c | 282$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Over | 44c | 263.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…04b6backed Under | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe8…843fbacked Over | 44c | 193.93$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc1…9a14backed Over | 37c | 141$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 57c | 140$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 43c | 133.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over | 44c | 112.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 56c | 110$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked Over | 43c | 94.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 76.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Over | 44c | 66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Under | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Under | 56c | 40.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 65c | 36.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 55c | 32.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 46c | 21.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inex-RUSTEC won
- Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerNoir Verse won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUSTEC (-1.5) vs Noir Verse (+1.5)Noir Verse won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.