CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dc1af934ca71515fcd63f590b4ea8aacac6b3fbbd96a50e6658d00571602edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof Nexus, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nexus | 15c | 1,390$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Nexus | 53c | 447.61$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.11 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed G2 Ares | 74c | 349.73$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed G2 Ares | 46c | 282.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Nexus | 32c | 262.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 237.22$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.76 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nexus | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…c3f1backed Nexus | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Nexus | 53c | 169.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nexus | 38c | 155.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Nexus | 30c | 153.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nexus | 20c | 148.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed G2 Ares | 55c | 145.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nexus | 22c | 143.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked G2 Ares | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 71c | 129.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nexus | 20c | 128.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…c88bbacked G2 Ares | 58c | 116.57$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nexus | 17c | 97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Nexus | 59c | 91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bb…a7d5backed G2 Ares | 42c | 89.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked G2 Ares | 57c | 85.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nexus | 60c | 72.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nexus | 34c | 68.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nexus | 22c | 58.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nexus | 26c | 57.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nexus | 52c | 53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 490 | 50.6%248 W · 242 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nexus | 45c | 51.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nexus | 59c | 48.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nexus | 23c | 45.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked G2 Ares | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe22d…878fbacked G2 Ares | 51c | 37.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +7.4wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa6…9c54backed Nexus | 50c | 36.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Nexus | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 380 | 31.1%118 W · 262 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nexus | 41c | 32.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Ares | 56c | 30.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Nexus | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked G2 Ares | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Nexus | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 232 | 26.3%61 W · 171 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…8703backed G2 Ares | 73c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group CG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Nexus (+1.5)G2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.